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BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group (300058) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 49.6B CNY

BI BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 · SHE
Price¥15.88
Fair Value¥1.28
Upside-92.0%
Quality45/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.08% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.28 – ¥1.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +27.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 92% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥1.28 to ¥1.46), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥23.38 ¥3.13 Fair Value ¥1.28 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.13 – ¥23.38 · fair‑value band ¥1.28 – ¥1.46 · the ¥15.88 price screens above the ¥1.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group (300058) currently trades at ¥15.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.28, implying the stock looks roughly 92.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group generated revenue of 73.2B CNY at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 31.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.28 (bear case) to ¥1.46 (bull case); at ¥15.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 161% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -92%, 300058 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.96 ¥6.34 ¥11.15 80
Residual Income ¥1.59 ¥1.53 ¥1.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.11 ¥2.37 ¥2.73 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.13 ¥5.82 ¥11.19 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.52 ¥4.21 ¥7.76 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.79 ¥3.74 ¥5.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.88 ¥3.93 ¥5.98 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.78 ¥4.30 ¥6.29 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.16 ¥5.02 ¥6.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.28 ¥5.23 ¥8.43 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.20 ¥5.00 ¥7.78 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.4300 ¥2.97 ¥4.16 54
Lynch FV ¥1.27 ¥1.81 ¥2.35 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.27 ¥1.81 ¥2.35 46
EPV ¥2.11 ¥2.27 ¥2.40 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2000 ¥0.4100 ¥0.6400 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2000 ¥0.3400 ¥0.4300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.03 ¥1.38 ¥1.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.48 ¥2.91 ¥3.34 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.37 ¥2.76 ¥3.15 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.17 ¥2.59 ¥3.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.10 ¥1.47 ¥2.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.96 ¥6.34 ¥11.15 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.59 ¥1.53 ¥1.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.11 ¥2.37 ¥2.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.59 ¥2.28 ¥2.96 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥6.34) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.3400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 73.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.9%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 3.3%
Free cash flow 627M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 197.3
More key figures
Operating margin 0.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.6%
Net cash 2.3B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. operates as a marketing technology company in China and internationally. It offers overseas marketing services, such as global localization services, integrated marketing creative, digital media placement in channels, overseas media PR, full-cycle game driver, and global influencer and affiliate marketing.

Full company description

BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. operates as a marketing technology company in China and internationally. It offers overseas marketing services, such as global localization services, integrated marketing creative, digital media placement in channels, overseas media PR, full-cycle game driver, and global influencer and affiliate marketing. The company also provides digital advertising, including advertisement launches and placement, media agency, creative production, and effect optimization; and digital marketing services comprising content creative, event management, CRM service, and sales promotion solution. In addition, it offers metaverse strategy planning, virtual production execution, and long-term operation services, as well as implementation of technologies and application scenarios. Further, the company develops human IPs under the Su Xiaomei and K brand name; a digital collection platform under the MEME name; Uniblue, a virtual marketing space; and LiveSmart Studio, AI Beings Clone, and NFT-as-a-Service. It serves automotive, consumer goods, hi-tech, internet and gaming, and financial and other industries. The company was formerly known as BlueFocus Communication Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. in June 2018. BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group reported revenue of ¥68.7B in FY2025 versus ¥40.1B in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥225M in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
68.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+39.1%
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY21 ¥40.1B
FY22 ¥36.7B
FY23 ¥52.6B
FY24 ¥60.8B
FY25 ¥68.7B
Net income −19.0%/yr
FY21 ¥522M
FY22 −¥2.2B
FY23 ¥117M
FY24 −¥291M
FY25 ¥225M

300058 screens 92% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300058

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −92% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 197.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.76× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 100 · sector 8
PAST 13 · sector 7
HEALTH 97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 2 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $19.91 $17.17 -14%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group (300058) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.28 versus a price of ¥15.88, about −92% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300058?
Our model-based fair value for BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group is ¥1.28 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.88.
What is the quality score of 300058?
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group (300058)?
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300058?
The net profit margin of BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group pay a dividend?
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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