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Publicis Groupe S.A (PGPEF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $25.6B

What is Publicis Groupe S.A really worth?

PG Publicis Groupe S.A logo Publicis Groupe S.A PGPEF · US
Price$116.60
Fair Value$169.58
Upside+45.4%
Quality68/100

A solid business, trading 31% below our fair value of $169.58.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +10.0 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
!Moderate moat 51/100

For context

·3.22% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $127.19 – $211.98

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from $168.85 to $169.58 (+0.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +11.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($127.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$116.60 $13.41 Fair Value $169.58 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.41 – $116.60 · fair‑value band $127.19 – $211.98 · the $116.60 price screens below the $169.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Publicis Groupe S.A (PGPEF) currently trades at $116.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $169.58, implying the stock looks roughly 31.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $176.04 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $116.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $28.11, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Publicis Groupe S.A generated revenue of $17.4B at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. Net debt stands at $809M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $127.19 (bear case) to $211.98 (bull case); at $116.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 45%, PGPEF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.59 per share, which is 1.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $130.60 $208.34 $330.79 79
Growth DCF $132.06 $199.46 $298.29 78
Owner Earnings $104.33 $165.97 $263.04 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $130.60 $208.34 $330.79 79
Owner Earnings $104.33 $165.97 $263.04 75
5Y Revenue Exit $107.10 $167.80 $245.66 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $118.15 $188.96 $272.33 75
5Y P/E Exit $111.97 $177.14 $246.42 70
10Y Revenue Exit $111.32 $169.47 $248.90 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $121.40 $184.35 $269.71 68
10Y P/E Exit $117.43 $176.04 $249.50 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $45.24 $157.03 $210.99 64
Lynch FV $36.42 $52.02 $67.63 61
PEG = 1.0 $36.42 $52.02 $67.63 57
EPV $86.46 $100.23 $112.28 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $109.77 $146.36 $182.95 63
P/S Multiple $84.82 $113.09 $141.37 58
P/B Multiple $84.82 $113.09 $141.37 55
EV/EBIT $128.76 $170.40 $212.05 66
EV/EBITDA $124.04 $164.11 $204.18 67
EV/Revenue $98.56 $139.17 $179.77 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.98 $28.11 $41.95 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $132.06 $199.46 $298.29 78
Rev-Margin DCF $107.10 $168.00 $240.31 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $44.02 $57.70 $165.23 66
ROIC Compounder $93.48 $118.26 $147.44 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $93.86 $134.08 $174.30 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($176.04) versus Asset-Based ($28.11). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.4
P/S ratio 1.46 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $7.57 price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4
Dividend yield 3.2% payout 49.5%
Net margin 9.5% FY2025
Return on equity 15.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 15.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $17.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4% 3y avg +7.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −6.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $2.7B FY2025
Net debt $809M FY2020 · ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Publicis Groupe S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides marketing, communications, and digital business transformation services in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East, and internationally.

Full company description

Publicis Groupe S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides marketing, communications, and digital business transformation services in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East, and internationally. The company offers power of one, publicis communications; publicis sapient; publicis media; publicis health; and other services. Publicis Groupe S.A. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Publicis Groupe S.A reported revenue of €17.4B in FY2025 versus €11.7B in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was €1.7B in FY2025, compounding +12.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$17.4B
Latest YoY
+8.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+16.4% (13.2 + 3.2)
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 €11.7B
FY22 €14.2B
FY23 €14.8B
FY24 €16.0B
FY25 €17.4B
Net income +12.6%/yr
FY21 €1.0B
FY22 €1.2B
FY23 €1.3B
FY24 €1.7B
FY25 €1.7B

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Publicis Groupe S.A · Fair Value
$169.58 +31%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Publicis Groupe S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PGPEF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 195 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +45% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.57× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE93 · sector 25
FUTURE32 · sector 6
PAST62 · sector 6
HEALTH85 · sector 99
DIVIDEND64 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

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Omnicom Group OMC $86.09 $99.84 +16%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥4.97 ¥5.71 +15%
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BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.37 ¥1.44 −89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 −13%
WPP plc WPP $26.87 $19.05 −29%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 −85%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $24.53 $12.18 −50%
Affle (India) Limited AFFLE ₹1,711 ₹591.41 −65%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Publicis Groupe S.A (PGPEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $169.58 versus a price of $116.60, about +45% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PGPEF?
Our model-based fair value for Publicis Groupe S.A is $169.58 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $116.60.
What is the quality score of PGPEF?
Publicis Groupe S.A has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Publicis Groupe S.A (PGPEF)?
Publicis Groupe S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PGPEF?
The net profit margin of Publicis Groupe S.A is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Publicis Groupe S.A pay a dividend?
Publicis Groupe S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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