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Serco Group (SECCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $3.2B

Price$3.27
Fair Value$4.41
Upside+34.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $3.08 – $5.95

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Serco Group (SECCF) currently trades at $3.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.41 — implying the stock looks roughly 34.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It offers service design and advisory, resourcing, programme management, systems integration, case management, engineering, and assets and facilities management services. The company also provides administrative and back office, asylum seeker accommodation or passenger transport services; and supports in the decarbonization journeys of customers. It serves the United Kingdom and Canadian governments, devolved authorities, and other public sector customers; and federal and civilian agencies, and various state and municipal governments in citizen services, defense, health and other facilities management, justice and immigration, and transport sectors. Serco Group plc was founded in 1929 and is based in Hook, the United Kingdom.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Serco Group (SECCF) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.41 versus a price of $3.27 — about +35% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SECCF?
Our 21-model fair value for Serco Group is $4.41 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.27.
What is the quality score of SECCF?
Serco Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.