SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA TRY 25.35, price TRY 19.80, upside +28.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Segmen Kardesler Gida Üretim ve Ambalaj Sanayi Anonim Sirketi produces and sells food products in Turkey. The company offers jams, honey, halva, nut butter, turkish delight, tahini and molasses, herbal teas, spices, jam, marmalades, peanut butter, and hazelnut cream. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey.
Stock analysis
SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN) currently trades at 19.80 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.35 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 21.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 46.50 TRY per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the 19.80 TRY price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 6.69 TRY, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 17.75 TRY (bear) to 32.29 TRY (bull), the price of 19.80 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA reported revenue of 2.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.2B TRY in FY2021, a compound +25.1%/yr. Reported net income was 286M TRY in FY2025, compounding +103.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.5B TRY (≈ $72.1M) · P/E ratio 90.0 · P/S ratio 8.89 · EPS (TTM) 0.2200 TRY · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 28%, SEGMN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 17.75 TRYFair Value 25.35 TRYBull 32.29 TRY
Price 19.80 TRY · Upside +28.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1682 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 1,367% above its own trend.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 634 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+28.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)11.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Is SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25.35 TRY versus a price of 19.80 TRY, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SEGMN?
Our model-based fair value for SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 25.35 TRY (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.80 TRY.
What is the quality score of SEGMN?
SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 25.35 TRY (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 17.75 TRY, optimistic scenario 32.29 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 25.35 TRY, about +28% upside versus a price of 19.80 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 17.75 TRY, optimistic scenario 32.29 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
Does SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA pay a dividend?
SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.37% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA it is 25.35 TRY per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of 19.80 TRY. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, SEGMN trades below its calculated fair value: price 19.80 TRY, fair value 25.35 TRY, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEGMN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.80 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (25.35 TRY). For SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA the two are 5.55 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA worth?
The market values SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA at about 3.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is 19.80 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 25.35 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SEGMN?
Our models span a range for SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA: cautious scenario 17.75 TRY, base 25.35 TRY, optimistic 32.29 TRY per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price 19.80 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SEGMN?
SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 90.0 (as of Oct 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 25.35 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 11.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
Balance-sheet figures for SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity 1.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SEGMN from its 52-week high?
SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA trades at 19.80 TRY, about 71% below its 52-week high of 69.45 TRY and 10% above the low of 17.96 TRY (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 25.35 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price 19.80 TRY, calculated fair value 25.35 TRY (+28%), Quality Score 43/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEGMN calculated?
We run SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 25.35 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 19.80 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 25.35 TRY, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA right now?
A fairly wide model range (17.75 TRY to 32.29 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA
How large is the market capitalisation of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
The market capitalisation of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 3.5B TRY (≈ $72.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 8.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
Earnings per share at SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA are 0.2200 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 90.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
The dividend yield of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 3.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
The net margin of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 9.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 15.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
The operating margin of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
Revenue at SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is growing +3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN)?
Earnings per share at SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA are growing −83.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA (SEGMN) generate?
The free cash flow of SEGMEN KARDESLER GIDA is −568M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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