Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited $0.92, price $2.24, upside -59.0%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range $1.84 – $112.50 · fair‑value band $0.6800 – $1.37 · the $2.24 price screens above the $0.9180 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides commercial printing products and services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, the United States, and Europe.
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Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides commercial printing products and services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, the United States, and Europe. The company offers a range of printed products, such as children's books, educational books, art books, notebooks, diaries, and journals; and novelty and packaging products, including handcraft products, book sets, pop-up books, stationery products, products with assembly parts, and other specialized products, as well as shopping bags and package boxes. Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG) currently trades at $2.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9180, implying the stock looks roughly 144.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.6800 (bear) to $1.37 (bull), the price of $2.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited reported revenue of HK$170M in FY2025 versus HK$162M in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$19.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $9.9M · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6300 · Net margin −11.7% · Return on equity −32.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin −9.8% · Revenue (TTM) $170M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −59%, SFHG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.6800Fair Value $0.9180Bull $1.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2021) → −12.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 245 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−10% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.06× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 52
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SFHG
Frequently asked questions
Is Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9180 versus a price of $2.24, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SFHG?
Our model-based fair value for Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is $0.9180 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.24.
What is the quality score of SFHG?
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9180 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6800, optimistic scenario $1.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9180, about −59% upside versus a price of $2.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6800, optimistic scenario $1.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $170M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited it is $0.9180 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.24. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SFHG trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.24, fair value $0.9180, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SFHG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9180). For Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited the two are $1.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited worth?
The market values Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited at about $9.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.24; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9180 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SFHG?
Our models span a range for Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.6800, base $0.9180, optimistic $1.37 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −32.0%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SFHG from its 52-week high?
Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited trades at $2.24, about 55% below its 52-week high of $4.95 and 40% above the low of $1.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9180 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.24, calculated fair value $0.9180 (−59%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SFHG calculated?
We run Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9180, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was $2.24. Our model-based fair value is $0.9180, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.6800 to $1.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
The market capitalisation of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is $9.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
Earnings per share at Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited are $−0.6300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
The net margin of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is −11.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is −32.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
The operating margin of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG)?
Revenue at Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is growing +22.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG) generate?
The free cash flow of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is −$25.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited (SFHG) carry?
The net debt of Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited is $13.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026