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Sygnity SA (SGN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sygnity SA PLN 70.01, price PLN 83.30, upside -16.0%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · PL · ISIN PLCMPLD00016

SS Some data Sep 23, 2026

Sygnity SA

SGN · WAR

Great Company, Expensive PriceHigh Quality, but the stock trades above estimated Fair Value.

!Fair value 70.01 PLN · Overvalued (−16%)
Quality 77/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 22.5% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 81/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 12 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

118.00 PLN 8.46 PLN Fair Value 70.01 PLN Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.46 PLN – 118.00 PLN · fair‑value band 52.56 PLN – 87.27 PLN · the 83.30 PLN price screens above the 70.01 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Sygnity S.A. manufactures and sells IT products and services in Poland and internationally. The company manufactures, purchases, and sells integrated IT systems, infrastructure, and hardware. It also offers computer programming and consultancy; software and IT; data processing; and hardware consultancy services.

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Sygnity S.A. manufactures and sells IT products and services in Poland and internationally. The company manufactures, purchases, and sells integrated IT systems, infrastructure, and hardware. It also offers computer programming and consultancy; software and IT; data processing; and hardware consultancy services. In addition, the company engages in the implementation, development, and maintenance of proprietary ERP-class IT systems. It serves the banking, financial, public, and public utility sectors. The company was formerly known as Computerland Poland SA and changed its name to Sygnity S.A. in April 2007. Sygnity S.A. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland. Sygnity S.A. is a subsidiary of TSS Europe B.V.

Stock analysis

Sygnity SA (SGN) currently trades at 83.30 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 70.01 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 71.59 PLN per share, and 4 of the 22 models we run sit above the 83.30 PLN price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 10.76 PLN, and 18 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 52.56 PLN (bear) to 87.27 PLN (bull), the price of 83.30 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Sygnity SA reported revenue of 350M PLN in FY2025 versus 204M PLN in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 77.3M PLN in FY2025, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9B PLN (≈ $493M) · P/E ratio 22.2 · P/S ratio 4.89 · EPS (TTM) 3.76 PLN · Net margin 22.1% · Return on equity 25.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7% · Operating margin 21.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 66% fair-value upside, at −16%, SGN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 52.56 PLN Fair Value 70.01 PLN Bull 87.27 PLN
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.70 PLN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 49.77 PLN 61.50 PLN 82.29 PLN 82
Growth DCF 51.00 PLN 62.17 PLN 80.38 PLN 80
Owner Earnings 41.21 PLN 50.52 PLN 67.02 PLN 78
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 49.77 PLN 61.50 PLN 82.29 PLN 82
Owner Earnings 41.21 PLN 50.52 PLN 67.02 PLN 78
5Y Revenue Exit 45.04 PLN 59.44 PLN 80.79 PLN 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 56.29 PLN 78.69 PLN 108.92 PLN 76
5Y P/E Exit 61.14 PLN 86.98 PLN 118.41 PLN 71
10Y Revenue Exit 46.04 PLN 57.16 PLN 69.21 PLN 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 53.12 PLN 68.39 PLN 85.05 PLN 70
10Y P/E Exit 55.82 PLN 73.23 PLN 90.39 PLN 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 23.20 PLN 33.29 PLN 39.12 PLN 67
EPV 34.62 PLN 38.21 PLN 41.21 PLN 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 71.64 PLN 95.52 PLN 119.40 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 43.50 PLN 57.99 PLN 72.49 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 43.50 PLN 57.99 PLN 72.49 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 79.42 PLN 103.13 PLN 126.84 PLN 66
EV/EBITDA 69.96 PLN 90.51 PLN 111.07 PLN 67
EV/Revenue 44.25 PLN 59.66 PLN 75.07 PLN 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.03 PLN 10.76 PLN 16.07 PLN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 51.00 PLN 62.17 PLN 80.38 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 45.04 PLN 60.52 PLN 80.07 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 19.22 PLN 25.53 PLN 85.61 PLN 58
ROIC Compounder 34.76 PLN 38.89 PLN 42.79 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 50.11 PLN 71.59 PLN 93.06 PLN 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+21.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21% vs 12%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 26%
2025 sits 93% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.5% a year for the price.

SGN screens 19% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 482 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.39× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 32
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $231.38 $188.22 −19%
Accenture plc ACN $183.72 $305.06 +66%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,105 ₹2,993 +42%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,029 ₹1,708 +66%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,270 ₹2,070 +63%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $34.96 $32.47 −7%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $58.68 $132.01 +125%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹166.00 ₹305.83 +84%
Capgemini SE CAP €106.30 €223.90 +111%
CDW Corporation CDW $147.43 $162.00 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sygnity SA (SGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 70.01 PLN versus a price of 83.30 PLN, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGN?
Our model-based fair value for Sygnity SA is 70.01 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 83.30 PLN.
What is the quality score of SGN?
Sygnity SA has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sygnity SA (SGN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 70.01 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 52.56 PLN, optimistic scenario 87.27 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sygnity SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 70.01 PLN, about −16% upside versus a price of 83.30 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 52.56 PLN, optimistic scenario 87.27 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
Sygnity SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 380M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sygnity SA (SGN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sygnity SA would have to grow free cash flow by +6.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SGN use?
Our models discount Sygnity SA at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.06, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sygnity SA that is +6.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sygnity SA (SGN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sygnity SA grew +8.8 % a year. The price currently implies +6.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sygnity SA (SGN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sygnity SA (+6.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.96 %: that much free cash flow Sygnity SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sygnity SA it is 70.01 PLN per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 83.30 PLN. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sygnity SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SGN trades above its calculated fair value: price 83.30 PLN, fair value 70.01 PLN, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SGN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (83.30 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (70.01 PLN). For Sygnity SA the two are 13.29 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sygnity SA worth?
The market values Sygnity SA at about 1.9B PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 83.30 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 70.01 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SGN?
Our models span a range for Sygnity SA: cautious scenario 52.56 PLN, base 70.01 PLN, optimistic 87.27 PLN per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 83.30 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SGN?
Sygnity SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 70.01 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 2.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sygnity SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 25.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SGN from its 52-week high?
Sygnity SA trades at 83.30 PLN, about 24% below its 52-week high of 109.00 PLN and 24% above the low of 67.00 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 70.01 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sygnity SA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sygnity SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 83.30 PLN, calculated fair value 70.01 PLN (−16%), Quality Score 77/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SGN calculated?
We run Sygnity SA through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 70.01 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sygnity SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 83.30 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 70.01 PLN, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sygnity SA right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Sygnity SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
The market capitalisation of Sygnity SA is 1.9B PLN (≈ $493M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sygnity SA is 4.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
Earnings per share at Sygnity SA are 3.76 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
The net margin of Sygnity SA is 22.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sygnity SA is 25.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sygnity SA is 14.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sygnity SA (SGN)?
The operating margin of Sygnity SA is 21.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sygnity SA (SGN)?
Revenue at Sygnity SA is growing +40.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sygnity SA (SGN)?
Earnings per share at Sygnity SA are growing +77.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sygnity SA (SGN) hold?
Sygnity SA holds more cash than debt, 150M PLN net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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