Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company (SHANF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $224M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $0.5100 to $0.1600 (−68.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0762 – $1.31 · the $0.9400 price screens above the $0.1600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company (SHANF) currently trades at $0.9400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 83.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 128.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 203% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -83%, SHANF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.05) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0320). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of products and services for the energy equipment industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of products and services for the energy equipment industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Pipe Products; Oil sucker, sucker pump, sucker rod; Petroleum Machinery Parts; Casting and Forging; and Others segments. The company offers oil casings and drill pipe bodies; pipeline, boiler, fluid conveying, hydraulic support, gas cylinder, and structural pipes; stage drawing equipment and accessories; sucker rods, oil pumps, oil pumping units, petroleum machinery accessories, and downhole tools; precision casting and forging products. It also provides API and non-API casing products, line pipe products, precision steel pipes, hydraulic prop tubes, fluid pipes, cylinder valves, and boiler tubes; tubular, multi-functional, inclined well, sand preventing, and feedback pumps; and cylinder liners and gate valves. The company's products are used in oil, natural gas, shale gas, coalbed methane, hydrogen energy, petroleum refining, coal mining machinery, boiler manufacturing, construction machinery manufacturing, and oilfield services. The company exports its products to the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Central Asia, Africa, and South America and other countries and regions. Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited was founded in 1987 and is based in Shouguang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $3.7B in FY2021, a compound −17.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.0M in FY2025.
SHANF screens 83% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 200 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥11.20 | ¥11.43 | +2% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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