Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited $0.42, price $0.42, upside +0.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0762 – $1.31 · fair‑value band $0.3600 – $0.4500 · the $0.4200 price screens below the $0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of products and services for the energy equipment industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of products and services for the energy equipment industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Pipe Products; Oil sucker, sucker pump, sucker rod; Petroleum Machinery Parts; Casting and Forging; and Others segments. The company offers oil casings and drill pipe bodies; pipeline, boiler, fluid conveying, hydraulic support, gas cylinder, and structural pipes; stage drawing equipment and accessories; sucker rods, oil pumps, oil pumping units, petroleum machinery accessories, and downhole tools; precision casting and forging products. It also provides API and non-API casing products, line pipe products, precision steel pipes, hydraulic prop tubes, fluid pipes, cylinder valves, and boiler tubes; tubular, multi-functional, inclined well, sand preventing, and feedback pumps; and cylinder liners and gate valves. The company's products are used in oil, natural gas, shale gas, coalbed methane, hydrogen energy, petroleum refining, coal mining machinery, boiler manufacturing, construction machinery manufacturing, and oilfield services. The company exports its products to the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Central Asia, Africa, and South America and other countries and regions. Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited was founded in 1987 and is based in Shouguang, China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF) currently trades at $0.4200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4200, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.21 per share, and 16 of the 23 models we run sit above the $0.4200 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.0500, and 7 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3600 (bear) to $0.4500 (bull), the price of $0.4200 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −17.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.0M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $335M · P/S ratio 0.10 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.5% · Operating margin 6.5% · Revenue (TTM) 2.1B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +129%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 0%, SHANF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3600Fair Value $0.4200Bull $0.4500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−31.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−31.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−31.0% vs −14.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.0%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.3% a year for the price.
Compare Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 184 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+0.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Return on assets2.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth128.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHANF
Frequently asked questions
Is Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4200 versus a price of $0.4200, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SHANF?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is $0.4200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4200.
What is the quality score of SHANF?
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $0.4500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4200, about +0% upside versus a price of $0.4200 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $0.4500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +11.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SHANF use?
Our models discount Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited that is +11.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited grew -10.6 % a year. The price currently implies +11.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (+11.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.07 %: that much free cash flow Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited it is $0.4200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.4200. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SHANF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.4200, fair value $0.4200, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHANF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4200). For Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited worth?
The market values Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited at about $335M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.4200; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHANF?
Our models span a range for Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited: cautious scenario $0.3600, base $0.4200, optimistic $0.4500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.4200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHANF from its 52-week high?
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited trades at $0.4200, about 68% below its 52-week high of $1.31 and at the low of $0.4200 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, Tenaris S.A, TechnipFMC plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.4200, calculated fair value $0.4200 (+0%), Quality Score 56/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHANF calculated?
We run Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was $0.4200. Our model-based fair value is $0.4200, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is $335M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
The net margin of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is −7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
The operating margin of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
Revenue at Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is growing +129% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited are growing +2.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited (SHANF) carry?
The net debt of Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited is 1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026