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Shagrir Group (SHGR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Il · Market cap 192M ILA

SG Shagrir Group SHGR · TA
Price18.41 ILA
Fair Value30.32 ILA
Upside+64.7%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range 21.23 ILA – 39.42 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 65% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (21.23 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (21.23 ILA to 39.42 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

22.70 ILA 4.85 ILA Fair Value 30.32 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.85 ILA – 22.70 ILA · fair‑value band 21.23 ILA – 39.42 ILA · the 18.41 ILA price screens below the 30.32 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Shagrir Group (SHGR) currently trades at 18.41 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 30.32 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 64.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shagrir Group generated revenue of 448M ILA at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 177M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 21.23 ILA (bear case) to 39.42 ILA (bull case); at 18.41 ILA, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 65%, SHGR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 13.22 ILA 13.95 ILA 14.88 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 10.36 ILA 12.40 ILA 14.05 ILA 72
Gordon GGM 3.35 ILA 5.61 ILA 7.28 ILA 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 10.87 ILA 50.50 ILA 69.37 ILA 54
Lynch FV 13.32 ILA 19.03 ILA 24.74 ILA 50
PEG = 1.0 13.32 ILA 19.03 ILA 24.74 ILA 46
EPV 10.36 ILA 12.40 ILA 14.05 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.35 ILA 5.61 ILA 7.28 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.35 ILA 5.32 ILA 6.03 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25.17 ILA 33.56 ILA 41.95 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 20.37 ILA 27.17 ILA 33.96 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 20.37 ILA 27.17 ILA 33.96 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 32.09 ILA 44.99 ILA 57.90 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 57.06 ILA 78.28 ILA 99.51 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 21.01 ILA 32.85 ILA 44.69 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.52 ILA 11.41 ILA 17.03 ILA 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.22 ILA 13.95 ILA 14.88 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 10.36 ILA 12.40 ILA 14.05 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 21.23 ILA 30.32 ILA 39.42 ILA 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (32.85 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (5.32 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 448M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.2%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow −19.7M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 12.6
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) 1.62 ILA
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.2%
Net debt 177M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shagrir Group Vehicle Services Ltd provides towing, rescue, and roadside assistance services in Israel and internationally. It offers various services, such as special rescue and transport; repair and start-up car towing; supply of a replacement vehicle; and comprehensive and supportive care services, as well as operates body and paint shops.

Full company description

Shagrir Group Vehicle Services Ltd provides towing, rescue, and roadside assistance services in Israel and internationally. It offers various services, such as special rescue and transport; repair and start-up car towing; supply of a replacement vehicle; and comprehensive and supportive care services, as well as operates body and paint shops. The company also provides car rental, installation of tracking and protection systems, and provision of tracking and protection services. It serves insurance companies, insurance agents, and vehicle importers. Shagrir Group Vehicle Services Ltd was founded in 1984 and is based in Holon, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shagrir Group reported revenue of 437M ILA in FY2025 versus 241M ILA in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was 16.6M ILA in FY2025.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
437M ILS
Latest YoY
+19.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.4%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.0%
Revenue +16.1%/yr
FY21 241M ILA
FY22 295M ILA
FY23 329M ILA
FY24 367M ILA
FY25 437M ILA
Net income
FY21 −1.9M ILA
FY22 8.8M ILA
FY23 8.5M ILA
FY24 14.0M ILA
FY25 16.6M ILA

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shagrir Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHGR

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +65% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 24
FUTURE 51 · sector 27
PAST 39 · sector 33
HEALTH 78 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shagrir Group (SHGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 30.32 ILA versus a price of 18.41 ILA, about +65% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHGR?
Our model-based fair value for Shagrir Group is 30.32 ILA (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 18.41 ILA.
What is the quality score of SHGR?
Shagrir Group has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shagrir Group (SHGR)?
Shagrir Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 448M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHGR?
The net profit margin of Shagrir Group is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shagrir Group pay a dividend?
Shagrir Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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