Smartgroup Corporation (SIQ) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$1.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$12.08 to A$12.14 (+0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from A$9.11 (bear) to A$15.18 (bull), base A$12.14. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 73/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$3.74 – A$13.41 · fair‑value band A$9.11 – A$15.18 · the A$13.36 price screens above the A$12.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Smartgroup Corporation (SIQ) currently trades at A$13.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$12.14, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Smartgroup Corporation generated revenue of A$329M at a net margin of 24.1%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$216M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$9.11 (bear case) to A$15.18 (bull case); at A$13.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -9%, SIQ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$14.65) versus Asset-Based (A$1.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 94
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smartgroup Corporation Ltd provides employee management services in Australia. It offers Employee benefits, such as outsourced salary packaging services and novated leasing services. Its also provides end-to-end fleet management services. Additionally, it offers salary packaging software solutions and markets salary packaging debit cards.
Full company description
Smartgroup Corporation Ltd provides employee management services in Australia. It offers Employee benefits, such as outsourced salary packaging services and novated leasing services. Its also provides end-to-end fleet management services. Additionally, it offers salary packaging software solutions and markets salary packaging debit cards. It serves not-for-profit organizations, healthcare providers, education providers, government sector, and corporate organizations. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Smartgroup Corporation reported revenue of A$329M in FY2025 versus A$222M in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$79.4M in FY2025, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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