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Skarbiec Holding (SKH) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · PL · Market cap 243M PLN

SH Skarbiec Holding SKH · WAR
Price34.50 PLN
Fair Value13.62 PLN
Upside-60.5%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 55.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range 10.21 PLN – 17.02 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 49.73 PLN to 13.62 PLN (−72.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (17.02 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

35.90 PLN 13.43 PLN Fair Value 13.62 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.43 PLN – 35.90 PLN · fair‑value band 10.21 PLN – 17.02 PLN · the 34.50 PLN price screens above the 13.62 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Skarbiec Holding (SKH) currently trades at 34.50 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.62 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 60.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Skarbiec Holding generated revenue of 112M PLN at a net margin of 55.0%. Revenue grew 111.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 62.7M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.21 PLN (bear case) to 17.02 PLN (bull case); at 34.50 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -61%, SKH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 98.54 PLN 163.50 PLN 1,982 PLN 76
Growth DCF 41.92 PLN 60.35 PLN 92.41 PLN 72
Gordon GGM 3.48 PLN 5.83 PLN 7.57 PLN 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 161.22 PLN 306.52 PLN 560.10 PLN 31
5Y P/E Exit 117.40 PLN 258.80 PLN 447.78 PLN 38
10Y P/E Exit 88.15 PLN 199.46 PLN 404.06 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 106.88 PLN 745.34 PLN 1,046 PLN 54
Lynch FV 243.14 PLN 347.35 PLN 451.55 PLN 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.48 PLN 5.83 PLN 7.57 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.48 PLN 5.53 PLN 6.28 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 153.24 PLN 204.32 PLN 255.40 PLN 63
P/B Multiple 44.32 PLN 59.10 PLN 73.87 PLN 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 21.11 PLN 28.28 PLN 42.21 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 41.92 PLN 60.35 PLN 92.41 PLN 72
Rev-Margin DCF 54.77 PLN 102.20 PLN 175.25 PLN 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 98.54 PLN 163.50 PLN 1,982 PLN 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (347.35 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (5.53 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 112M PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) +112%
Net margin 55.0%
Return on equity 29.2%
Free cash flow 19.5M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 3.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.9%
EPS (TTM) 10.34 PLN
EPS growth (YoY) +15,162%
Net cash 62.7M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Skarbiec Holding S.A. engages in creation and management of investment funds in Poland. The company also involved in managing various types of investment funds, including open-end, specialized open-end, and closed-end funds. It also offers portfolio management services for financial instruments on behalf of clients.

Full company description

Skarbiec Holding S.A. engages in creation and management of investment funds in Poland. The company also involved in managing various types of investment funds, including open-end, specialized open-end, and closed-end funds. It also offers portfolio management services for financial instruments on behalf of clients. In addition, it offers asset management services. The company was formerly known as Skarbiec Holding Sp. z o.o. and changed its name to Skarbiec Holding S.A. in March 2014. Skarbiec Holding S.A. was founded 1997 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Skarbiec Holding reported revenue of 238M PLN in FY2025 versus 94.8M PLN in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was 107M PLN in FY2025, compounding +83.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
238M PLN
Latest YoY
+112.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+62.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Revenue +25.8%/yr
FY21 94.8M PLN
FY22 55.6M PLN
FY23 70.4M PLN
FY24 112M PLN
FY25 238M PLN
Net income +83.4%/yr
FY21 9.5M PLN
FY22 −24.8M PLN
FY23 5.2M PLN
FY24 61.7M PLN
FY25 107M PLN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +15.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.7 pp

of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin +2.1 pp
Tax rate +1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SKH screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Skarbiec Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SKH

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 55% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 116% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Skarbiec Holding (SKH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.62 PLN versus a price of 34.50 PLN, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKH?
Our model-based fair value for Skarbiec Holding is 13.62 PLN (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 34.50 PLN.
What is the quality score of SKH?
Skarbiec Holding has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Skarbiec Holding (SKH)?
Skarbiec Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 112M PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SKH?
The net profit margin of Skarbiec Holding is about 55.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 55.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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