Skane mollan AB (SKMO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Skane mollan AB SEK 21.19, price SEK 57.50, upside -63.2%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 42.85 – kr 205.96 · fair‑value band kr 15.89 – kr 26.01 · the kr 57.50 price screens above the kr 21.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Skåne-möllan AB (publ) produces and sells flour and cereal products in Sweden. The company offers wheat, organic wheat, whole grain wheat, groats, rye, barley, bakery wheat, organic cut rye, graham, quarna wheat, wheatie, hafie, roggie, oat, and oatflake flours, as well as oat kernels oatmeal.
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Skåne-möllan AB (publ) produces and sells flour and cereal products in Sweden. The company offers wheat, organic wheat, whole grain wheat, groats, rye, barley, bakery wheat, organic cut rye, graham, quarna wheat, wheatie, hafie, roggie, oat, and oatflake flours, as well as oat kernels oatmeal. It sells its products under the Möllarens and Skåne-möllan brand names. Skåne-möllan AB (publ) was founded in 1971 and is based in Tågarp, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Skane mollan AB (SKMO) currently trades at kr 57.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 21.19, implying the stock looks roughly 171.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 27.45 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the kr 57.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 9.64, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 15.89 (bear) to kr 26.01 (bull), the price of kr 57.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Skane mollan AB reported revenue of 236M SEK in FY2025 versus 214M SEK in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 11.1M SEK in FY2025, compounding −15.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 633M SEK (≈ $63.7M) · P/E ratio 53.2 · P/S ratio 2.50 · EPS (TTM) kr 1.08 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −63%, SKMO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 15.89Fair Value kr 21.19Bull kr 26.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11% vs 1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)53.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.00× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.73× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF2.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA30.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)49· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Skane mollan AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SKMO
Frequently asked questions
Is Skane mollan AB (SKMO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 21.19 versus a price of kr 57.50, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKMO?
Our model-based fair value for Skane mollan AB is kr 21.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 57.50.
What is the quality score of SKMO?
Skane mollan AB has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 21.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 15.89, optimistic scenario kr 26.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Skane mollan AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 21.19, about −63% upside versus a price of kr 57.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 15.89, optimistic scenario kr 26.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
Skane mollan AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 232M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Skane mollan AB pay a dividend?
Skane mollan AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Skane mollan AB would have to grow free cash flow by +15.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SKMO use?
Our models discount Skane mollan AB at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Skane mollan AB that is +15.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Skane mollan AB (SKMO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Skane mollan AB grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +15.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Skane mollan AB (SKMO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Skane mollan AB (+15.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.92 %: that much free cash flow Skane mollan AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Skane mollan AB it is kr 21.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 57.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Skane mollan AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SKMO trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 57.50, fair value kr 21.19, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SKMO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 57.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 21.19). For Skane mollan AB the two are kr 36.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Skane mollan AB worth?
The market values Skane mollan AB at about 633M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 57.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 21.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SKMO?
Our models span a range for Skane mollan AB: cautious scenario kr 15.89, base kr 21.19, optimistic kr 26.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 57.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SKMO?
Skane mollan AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 53.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 21.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.0, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 30.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Skane mollan AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SKMO from its 52-week high?
Skane mollan AB trades at kr 57.50, about 7% below its 52-week high of kr 61.97 and 34% above the low of kr 42.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 21.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Skane mollan AB?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Skane mollan AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 57.50, calculated fair value kr 21.19 (−63%), Quality Score 59/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SKMO calculated?
We run Skane mollan AB through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 21.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Skane mollan AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 57.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 21.19, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Skane mollan AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 26.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Skane mollan AB (SKMO) come from?
Earnings per share at Skane mollan AB grew +2.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin −3.5 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Skane mollan AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The market capitalisation of Skane mollan AB is 633M SEK (≈ $63.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Skane mollan AB is 2.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
Earnings per share at Skane mollan AB are kr 1.08 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The dividend yield of Skane mollan AB is 2.4% (payout 130%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The net margin of Skane mollan AB is 4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Skane mollan AB is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Skane mollan AB is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
The operating margin of Skane mollan AB is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
Revenue at Skane mollan AB is growing −7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Skane mollan AB (SKMO)?
Earnings per share at Skane mollan AB are growing +61.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Skane mollan AB (SKMO) hold?
Skane mollan AB holds more cash than debt, 67.2M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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