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SM Energy Company (SM) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $8.1B

SE SM Energy Company logo SM Energy Company SM · US
Price$27.41
Fair Value$36.11
Upside+31.7%
Quality53/100
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Evidence: High Range $24.44 – $59.99

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $43.65 to $36.11 (−17.3%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −18.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$35.54 $17.78 Fair Value $36.11 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $17.78 – $35.54 · fair‑value band $24.44 – $59.99 · the $27.41 price screens below the $36.11 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

SM Energy Company (SM) currently trades at $27.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.11 — implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SM Energy Company generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 73.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +73.0%
Net margin 3.6%
Return on equity 2.3%
Free cash flow $573M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.3
More key figures
Operating margin -4.7%
EPS (TTM) $2.37
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -42.3%
Net debt $1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company holds working interests in oil and gas producing wells in the Midland Basin, South Texas, Uinta Basin, and DJ Basin. The company was formerly known as St. Mary Land & Exploration Company and changed its name to SM Energy Company in May 2010. SM Energy Company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SM Energy Company reported revenue of $3.2B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was $648M in FY2025, compounding +105.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 $2.6B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $3.2B
Net income +105.7%/yr
FY21 $36.2M
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $818M
FY24 $770M
FY25 $648M

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is SM Energy Company (SM) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.11 versus a price of $27.41 — about +32% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SM?
Our model-based fair value for SM Energy Company is $36.11 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $27.41.
What is the quality score of SM?
SM Energy Company has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of SM Energy Company (SM)?
SM Energy Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SM?
The net profit margin of SM Energy Company is about 3.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SM Energy Company pay a dividend?
SM Energy Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.