Smart Sand, Inc (SND) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $198M
Smart Sand, Inc
SND · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 19 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $0.5600 to $1.12 (+100.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.21 – $5.82 · fair‑value band $0.8000 – $1.44 · the $4.42 price screens above the $1.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Smart Sand, Inc (SND) currently trades at $4.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.12, implying the stock looks roughly 74.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Smart Sand, Inc generated revenue of $358M at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 42.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $13.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.8000 (bear case) to $1.44 (bull case); at $4.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -75%, SND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 19 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($12.02) versus Earnings-Based ($0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smart Sand, Inc., a fully integrated frac and industrial sand supply and services company, provides mine to wellsite proppant supply and logistics solutions to its frac sand customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Sand and SmartSystems. The Sand segment offers frac sand and industrial products solutions.
Full company description
Smart Sand, Inc., a fully integrated frac and industrial sand supply and services company, provides mine to wellsite proppant supply and logistics solutions to its frac sand customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Sand and SmartSystems. The Sand segment offers frac sand and industrial products solutions. The SmartSystems segment rents its patented SmartSystems equipment and offers related services, as well as provides portable wellsite storage and management solutions. The company engages in the excavation, processing, and sale of sand or proppant for use in hydraulic fracturing operations. The company markets its products and services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies, oilfield service companies, and diversified industrial and commercial customers. Smart Sand, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Yardley, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Smart Sand, Inc reported revenue of $330M in FY2025 versus $127M in FY2021, a compound +27.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3M in FY2025.
SND screens 75% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥11.20 | ¥11.43 | +2% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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