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SSH Group (SSH) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$15.8M

SG SSH Group SSH · AU
PriceA$0.1450
Fair ValueA$0.1000
Upside-31.0%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.0800 – A$0.1300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.2900 A$0.0610 Fair Value A$0.1000 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range A$0.0610 – A$0.2900 · fair‑value band A$0.0800 – A$0.1300 · the A$0.1450 price screens above the A$0.1000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

SSH Group (SSH) currently trades at A$0.1450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 31.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SSH Group generated revenue of A$42.3M at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at A$21.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0800 (bear case) to A$0.1300 (bull case); at A$0.1450, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -31%, SSH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.3200 A$0.3900 A$0.4900 80
Residual Income A$0.0600 A$0.0600 A$0.0600 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.3700 A$0.5400 A$0.7500 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.3100 A$0.3800 A$0.5000 38
Owner Earnings A$0.3200 A$0.4000 A$0.5200 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.3700 A$0.5300 A$0.7700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.6100 A$0.9300 A$1.37 41
5Y P/E Exit A$0.2000 A$0.2300 A$0.2800 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.3300 A$0.4400 A$0.5500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.4600 A$0.6500 A$0.8500 37
10Y P/E Exit A$0.2500 A$0.2800 A$0.3000 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 54
EPV A$0.4400 A$0.4900 A$0.5200 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.3900 A$0.4200 A$0.4600 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.3900 A$0.4500 A$0.5300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0800 A$0.1000 A$0.1300 63
P/S Multiple A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 58
P/B Multiple A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 55
EV/EBIT A$0.8300 A$1.10 A$1.37 53
EV/EBITDA A$1.01 A$1.34 A$1.66 54
EV/Revenue A$0.4700 A$0.6500 A$0.8400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0600 A$0.0900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.3200 A$0.3900 A$0.4900 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.3700 A$0.5400 A$0.7500 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0600 A$0.0600 A$0.0600 76
ROIC Compounder A$0.4400 A$0.4900 A$0.5400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.0500 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.4200) versus Earnings-Based (A$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$42.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.2%
Net margin 3.9%
Return on equity 15.1%
Free cash flow A$4.2M FY2024
P/E ratio 7.3
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) +2,300%
Net debt A$21.0M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SSH Group Limited engages in the provision of various integrated products and services to civil, mining, and construction sectors in Australia. The company operates through two segments, Workforce and Rental. The Workforce segment provides recruitment and workforce solutions. The Rental segment in involved in transport fleet and equipment hire.

Full company description

SSH Group Limited engages in the provision of various integrated products and services to civil, mining, and construction sectors in Australia. The company operates through two segments, Workforce and Rental. The Workforce segment provides recruitment and workforce solutions. The Rental segment in involved in transport fleet and equipment hire. The company provides surface and underground mining services. It offers its services under Bridge Resources, SSH Mining, and KMH brands. The company is based in Belmont, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

SSH Group reported revenue of A$37.4M in FY2024 versus A$70.5M in FY2020, a compound −14.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$530K in FY2024, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
A$37.4M
Latest YoY
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+114.0%
Revenue −14.6%/yr
FY20 A$70.5M
FY21 A$96.3M
FY22 A$41.2M
FY23 A$40.1M
FY24 A$37.4M
Net income −10.3%/yr
FY20 A$817K
FY21 −A$2.6M
FY22 −A$1.3M
FY23 A$668K
FY24 A$530K

SSH screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SSH Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SSH

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −31% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 100 · sector 27
PAST 60 · sector 33
HEALTH 98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SSH Group (SSH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1000 versus a price of A$0.1450, about −31% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SSH?
Our model-based fair value for SSH Group is A$0.1000 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.1450.
What is the quality score of SSH?
SSH Group has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SSH Group (SSH)?
SSH Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$42.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SSH?
The net profit margin of SSH Group is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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