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Sysmex Corporation (SSMXY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $5.3B

SC Sysmex Corporation logo Sysmex Corporation SSMXY · US
Price$10.93
Fair Value$8.33
Upside-23.8%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.80% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $6.17 – $10.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $9.16 to $8.33 (−9.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$41.01 $8.03 Fair Value $8.33 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.03 – $41.01 · fair‑value band $6.17 – $10.42 · the $10.93 price screens above the $8.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Sysmex Corporation (SSMXY) currently trades at $10.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.33, implying the stock looks roughly 23.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sysmex Corporation generated revenue of $500B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $13.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.17 (bear case) to $10.42 (bull case); at $10.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -24%, SSMXY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $5.61 $8.78 $13.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.12 $10.10 $15.00 74
ROIC Compounder $5.28 $6.69 $8.63 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.61 $8.99 $14.35 38
Owner Earnings $6.61 $10.65 $17.06 31
5Y Revenue Exit $6.12 $10.18 $15.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.51 $16.89 $25.98 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.99 $9.91 $14.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.70 $9.38 $14.77 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.05 $14.09 $22.98 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.80 $9.19 $13.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.57 $10.35 $14.08 54
Lynch FV $2.58 $3.68 $4.79 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.58 $3.68 $4.79 46
EPV $5.23 $5.98 $6.62 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.25 $8.33 $10.41 63
P/S Multiple $4.83 $6.44 $8.05 58
P/B Multiple $4.83 $6.44 $8.05 55
EV/EBIT $8.99 $11.81 $14.63 53
EV/EBITDA $12.70 $16.76 $20.82 54
EV/Revenue $6.57 $9.16 $11.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.55 $3.42 $5.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.61 $8.78 $13.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.12 $10.10 $15.00 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.12 $4.34 $4.67 61
ROIC Compounder $5.28 $6.69 $8.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.64 $6.63 $8.62 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($9.91) versus Asset-Based ($3.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $500B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.9%
Net margin 7.1%
Return on equity 7.3%
Free cash flow $43.4B FY2026
P/E ratio 24.5
More key figures
Operating margin 10.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.3500
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.4%
Net cash $13.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sysmex Corporation engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of diagnostic instruments, reagents, and related software.

Full company description

Sysmex Corporation engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of diagnostic instruments, reagents, and related software. It offers non-clinical blood testing and cell analysis for hematology, such as XN-V series, a software for laboratory animal corresponding to XN series fully automated hematology analyzers; XN-Series, a fully automated flagship hematology analyzers; and Automated hematology analyzer ProCyte Dx for Research applications, a housed in a compact body that simultaneously measures five types of leukocytes and reticulocyte counts; coagulation, blood gas/ electrolyte/ urinalysis, cells/ microorganisms, including particle counter/analyzer CDA-1000/1000B, an equipment which is capable of counting cells, yeast, algae, bacteria, and others. The company serves national and other public hospitals, general hospitals, universities, research institutes, other medical institutions, etc. The company was formerly known as TOA Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Sysmex Corporation in October 1998. Sysmex Corporation was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Kobe, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sysmex Corporation reported revenue of $530B in FY2026 versus $364B in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was $37.6B in FY2026, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$530B
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+9.6%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY22 $364B
FY23 $411B
FY24 $462B
FY25 $509B
FY26 $530B
Net income −3.9%/yr
FY22 $44.1B
FY23 $45.8B
FY24 $49.6B
FY25 $53.7B
FY26 $37.6B

SSMXY screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sysmex Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SSMXY

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −24% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.5× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 2 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 27
PAST 29 · sector 8
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 56 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sysmex Corporation (SSMXY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.33 versus a price of $10.93, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SSMXY?
Our model-based fair value for Sysmex Corporation is $8.33 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.93.
What is the quality score of SSMXY?
Sysmex Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sysmex Corporation (SSMXY)?
Sysmex Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $500B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SSMXY?
The net profit margin of Sysmex Corporation is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sysmex Corporation pay a dividend?
Sysmex Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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