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Suncor Energy Inc (SU) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $73.7B

SE Suncor Energy Inc logo Suncor Energy Inc SU · US
Price$62.43
Fair Value$70.17
Upside+12.4%
Quality73/100
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Evidence: High Range $52.63 – $99.32 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +10.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$69.27 $37.07 Fair Value $70.17 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $37.07 – $69.27 · fair‑value band $52.63 – $99.32 · the $62.43 price screens below the $70.17 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Suncor Energy Inc (SU) currently trades at $62.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $70.17, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Suncor Energy Inc generated revenue of $51.1B at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at $14.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $52.63 (bear case) to $99.32 (bull case); at $62.43, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 12%, SU screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $51.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.5%
Net margin 12.4%
Return on equity 14.0%
Free cash flow $6.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 17.1
More key figures
Operating margin 20.9%
EPS (TTM) $3.81
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.9%
Net debt $14.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; and Refining and Marketing segments. The Oil Sands segment produces bitumen; and markets, supplies, and transports and manages crude oil, power, and byproducts. The Exploration and Production segment is involved in the offshore operations on the east coast of Canada, and onshore assets in Libya and Syria; and marketing and risk management of crude oil. The Refining and Marketing segment refines and supplies crude oil and intermediate feedstock into a range of petroleum and petrochemical products, as well as sells refined petroleum products to retail customers. This segment is also involved in the trading of crude oil and refined products, natural gas, and power. The company was formerly known as Suncor Inc. and changed its name to Suncor Energy Inc. in April 1997. Suncor Energy Inc. was founded in 1917 and …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suncor Energy Inc reported revenue of $48.9B in FY2025 versus $39.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.9B in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 $39.1B
FY22 $58.3B
FY23 $49.1B
FY24 $50.7B
FY25 $48.9B
Net income +9.5%/yr
FY21 $4.1B
FY22 $9.1B
FY23 $8.3B
FY24 $6.0B
FY25 $5.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suncor Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SU

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Shell plc RYDAF $39.95 $46.04 +15%
TotalEnergies SE TTE C$13.80 C$10.37 -25%
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BPE5 €6.26 €4.31 -31%
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Equinor ASA STOHF $36.10 $35.44 -2%
Eni S.p.A ENI €21.58 €15.13 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suncor Energy Inc (SU) undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $70.17 versus a price of $62.43, about +12% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SU?
Our model-based fair value for Suncor Energy Inc is $70.17 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $62.43.
What is the quality score of SU?
Suncor Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 73/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Suncor Energy Inc (SU)?
Suncor Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $51.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SU?
The net profit margin of Suncor Energy Inc is about 12.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suncor Energy Inc pay a dividend?
Suncor Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.