BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company (BPE5) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company €1.86, price €6.56, upside -71.6%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company
BPE5 · XETRAStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.69 – €6.88 · the €6.56 price screens above the €1.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Company profile
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, engages in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, marketing, and trading activities, as well as solar, wind, and hydrogen businesses.
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BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, engages in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, marketing, and trading activities, as well as solar, wind, and hydrogen businesses. The company also offers aviation fuel products and services, such as jet fuel; aviation gasoline; UL91 aviation fuel; and sustainable aviation fuel. In addition, it engages in the convenience and retail fuel; EV charging; Castrol lubricants and fluids; B2B; midstream; crude oil production; refining and oil trading; and bioenergy businesses. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, (BPE5) currently trades at €6.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.86, 71.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €11.25 per share, and 10 of the 25 models we run sit above the €6.56 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €1.88, and 15 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, reported revenue of $189B in FY2025 versus $155B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $55.0M in FY2025, compounding −70.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €104B · P/E ratio 36.4 · P/S ratio 0.01 · EPS (TTM) €0.1800 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −72%, BPE5 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
BPE5 screens overvalued: fair value 72% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →
Compare BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 45 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 25.28 SAR | 20.14 SAR | −20% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $162.75 | $90.40 | −44% |
| Chevron Corporation CVX | $204.38 | $92.05 | −55% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥11.21 | ¥15.47 | +38% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | €74.51 | €70.97 | −5% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR | $20.37 | $28.71 | +41% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | kr 398.40 | kr 345.87 | −13% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.28 | ¥3.74 | −29% |
| Suncor Energy Inc SU | $67.87 | $70.17 | +3% |
| Imperial Oil Limited IMO | $122.34 | $94.61 | −23% |
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Key figures of BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company,
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