BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, (BPE5) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · DE · Market cap €92.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026 — revised from €6.18 to €2.12 (−65.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range €4.32 – €6.88 · fair‑value band €1.72 – €2.12 · the €6.03 price screens above the €2.12 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, (BPE5) currently trades at €6.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.12 — implying the stock looks roughly 64.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, generated revenue of €193B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at €36.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.72 (bear case) to €2.12 (bull case); at €6.03, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside — at -65%, BPE5 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, engages in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, marketing, and trading activities, as well as solar, wind, and hydrogen businesses. The company also offers aviation fuel products and services, such as jet fuel; aviation gasoline; UL91 aviation fuel; and sustainable aviation fuel. In addition, it engages in the convenience and retail fuel; EV charging; Castrol lubricants and fluids; B2B; midstream; crude oil production; refining and oil trading; and bioenergy businesses. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, reported revenue of €189B in FY2025 versus €155B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was €55.0M in FY2025, compounding −70.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $150.62 | $75.10 | -50% |
| Chevron Corporation CHVX34 | R$98.86 | R$43.86 | -56% |
| PetroChina Company PCCYF | $1.17 | $1.39 | +19% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR | 25,340 ARS | 47,118 ARS | +86% |
| Shell plc RYDAF | $44.16 | $35.49 | -20% |
| TotalEnergies SE TOTB | €70.94 | €80.13 | +13% |
| Equinor ASA E1QN34 | R$84.24 | R$18.98 | -77% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥4.77 | ¥5.73 | +20% |
| Suncor Energy Inc SU | $62.09 | $69.48 | +12% |
| Eni S.p.A ENI | €22.53 | €13.79 | -39% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.