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Chevron Corporation (CHV) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · DE · Market cap €324B

CC Chevron Corporation CHV · XETRA
Price€162.78
Fair Value€87.64
Upside-46.2%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: High Range €64.85 – €115.13

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price +5.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€184.90 €122.04 Fair Value €87.64 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range €122.04 – €184.90 · fair‑value band €64.85 – €115.13 · the €162.78 price screens above the €87.64 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Chevron Corporation (CHV) currently trades at €162.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €87.64, implying the stock looks roughly 46.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chevron Corporation generated revenue of €186B at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at €44.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €64.85 (bear case) to €115.13 (bull case); at €162.78, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -46%, CHV screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €186B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.3%
Net margin 5.9%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow €16.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 32.2
More key figures
Operating margin 7.3%
EPS (TTM) €5.05
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -44.5%
Net debt €44.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and All Other segments. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration for, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; processing, liquefaction, transportation, and regasification of liquefied natural gas; transportation of crude oil through pipelines; transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas; carbon capture and storage; and operation of a gas-to-liquids plant. Its Downstream segment refines crude oil into petroleum products; markets crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufactures and markets renewable fuels; transports crude oil and refined products through pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufactures and markets commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The All …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chevron Corporation reported revenue of €184B in FY2025 versus €156B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was €12.3B in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 €156B
FY22 €236B
FY23 €197B
FY24 €193B
FY25 €184B
Net income −5.8%/yr
FY21 €15.6B
FY22 €35.5B
FY23 €21.4B
FY24 €17.7B
FY25 €12.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chevron Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHV

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $150.62 $75.10 -50%
PetroChina Company PCCYF $1.17 $1.23 +5%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR 25,340 ARS 53,847 ARS +112%
Shell plc RYDAF $39.95 $46.04 +15%
TotalEnergies SE TTE C$13.80 C$10.37 -25%
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BPE5 €6.00 €6.95 +16%
Equinor ASA STOHF $36.10 $35.44 -2%
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥4.77 ¥5.73 +20%
Suncor Energy Inc SU $62.09 $69.48 +12%
Eni S.p.A ENI €21.58 €15.13 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chevron Corporation (CHV) undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €87.64 versus a price of €162.78, about −46% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CHV?
Our model-based fair value for Chevron Corporation is €87.64 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €162.78.
What is the quality score of CHV?
Chevron Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Chevron Corporation (CHV)?
Chevron Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €186B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHV?
The net profit margin of Chevron Corporation is about 5.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chevron Corporation pay a dividend?
Chevron Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.