OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $14.5M · ISIN MHY6430L3019
What is OceanPal Inc. really worth?
OceanPal Inc.
SVRN · US
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $10.59.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Share price +72.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.83 to $14.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range $4.10 – $900,282 · fair‑value band $5.83 – $14.69 · the $10.54 price screens below the $10.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) currently trades at $10.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.59, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $55.93 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the $10.54 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.65, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $13.4M. Revenue declined 37.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −54.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $33.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.83 (bear case) to $14.69 (bull case); at $10.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 0%, SVRN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($55.93) versus Dividend Discount ($9.65). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (64).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
OceanPal Inc. provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. It owns and operates dry bulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains, as well as minor bulks, including steel products, cement, and fertilizers.
Full company description
OceanPal Inc. provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. It owns and operates dry bulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains, as well as minor bulks, including steel products, cement, and fertilizers. As of December 31, 2023, the company's fleet consists of three Panamax dry bulk carriers with a total cargo carrying capacity of approximately 223,546 dwt; and one MR2 product tanker vessel with a carrying capacity of 49,999 dwt. OceanPal Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Athens, Greece.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OceanPal Inc. reported revenue of $14.1M in FY2025 versus $1.3M in FY2021, a compound +80.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$65.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 238 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,714 | ₹1,041 | −39% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 20,820 | kr 20,145 | −3% |
| 532921 532921 | ₹1,697 | ₹1,305 | −23% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥17.11 | ¥49.90 | +192% |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €132.80 | €88.00 | −34% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.15 | +19% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,450 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 | HK$166.90 | HK$237.61 | +42% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.39 | ¥5.58 | +65% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.69 | ¥15.97 | +84% |
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