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Data-driven stock valuation

OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OceanPal Inc. stock $8.59, price $35.05, upside -75.5%, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN MHY6430L3019

OI OceanPal Inc. logo Thin data Oct 17, 2026

OceanPal Inc.

SVRN · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 76% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value $8.59 · Strongly overvalued (−75.5%)
Quality 20/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −9.6 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$900,282 $4.10 Fair Value $8.59 Nov 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range $4.10 – $900,282 · fair‑value band $5.14 – $11.11 · the $35.05 price screens above the $8.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 17, 2026.

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Company profile

OceanPal Inc. provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. It owns and operates dry bulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains, as well as minor bulks, including steel products, cement, and fertilizers.

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As of December 31, 2023, the company's fleet consists of three Panamax dry bulk carriers with a total cargo carrying capacity of approximately 223,546 dwt; and one MR2 product tanker vessel with a carrying capacity of 49,999 dwt. OceanPal Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Stock analysis

OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) currently trades at $35.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.59, 75.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $58.59 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the $35.05 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.59, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $5.14 (bear) to $11.11 (bull), the price of $35.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

OceanPal Inc. reported revenue of $14.1M in FY2025 versus $1.3M in FY2021, a compound +80.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$65.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $78.4M Micro · P/S ratio 5.85 · EPS (TTM) $−181.80 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Return on equity −54.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.1% · Operating margin −287% · Revenue (TTM) $13.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 755% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −76%, SVRN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.14 Fair Value $8.59 Bull $11.11
Price $35.05 · Upside -75.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM $6.05 $10.10 $13.07 64
DDM Multi-Stage $6.05 $9.59 $10.86 64
NCAV (Graham) $38.67 $58.59 $73.23 52
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.05 $10.10 $13.07 64
DDM Multi-Stage $6.05 $9.59 $10.86 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $38.67 $58.59 $73.23 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 92
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 33
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 67
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 38
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−45.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−40.3% (2020) → −202.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SVRN screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 661 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −39.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −37.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 5.85× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 59
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)42 · sector 82

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $158.38 $316.76 +100% vs SVRN
Exor N.V EXO €69.15 €138.30 +100% vs SVRN
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $113.39 $197.23 +74% vs SVRN
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $500.80 $595.40 +19% vs SVRN
Ares Management Corporation ARES $117.22 $103.68 −12% vs SVRN
State Street Corporation STT $174.93 $139.37 −20% vs SVRN
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $168.21 $123.42 −27% vs SVRN
Blackstone Inc BX $106.21 $52.29 −51% vs SVRN
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.09 $13.45 −64% vs SVRN
KKR & Co KKR $91.51 $29.26 −68% vs SVRN

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OceanPal Inc. · Fair Value
$8.59 −76%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OceanPal Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVRN

Frequently asked questions

Is OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.59 versus a price of $35.05, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SVRN?
Our model-based fair value for OceanPal Inc. is $8.59 (as of Oct 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $35.05.
What is the quality score of SVRN?
OceanPal Inc. has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.59 (as of Oct 17, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.14, optimistic scenario $11.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OceanPal Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.59, about −76% upside versus a price of $35.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.14, optimistic scenario $11.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
OceanPal Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.4M (latest available figure, as of Oct 17, 2026).
Does OceanPal Inc. pay a dividend?
OceanPal Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 17, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OceanPal Inc. it is $8.59 per share (as of Oct 17, 2026), against a price of $35.05. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OceanPal Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 17, 2026, SVRN trades above its calculated fair value: price $35.05, fair value $8.59, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SVRN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($35.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.59). For OceanPal Inc. the two are $26.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OceanPal Inc. worth?
The market values OceanPal Inc. at about $78.4M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 17, 2026). Per share that is $35.05; our models calculate a fair value of $8.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SVRN?
Our models span a range for OceanPal Inc.: cautious scenario $5.14, base $8.59, optimistic $11.11 per share (as of Oct 17, 2026, price $35.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
Balance-sheet figures for OceanPal Inc. (as of Oct 17, 2026): return on equity −54.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SVRN from its 52-week high?
OceanPal Inc. trades at $35.05, about 48% below its 52-week high of $67.33 and 755% above the low of $4.10 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OceanPal Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OceanPal Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 17, 2026: price $35.05, calculated fair value $8.59 (−76%), Quality Score 20/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SVRN calculated?
We run OceanPal Inc. through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. OceanPal Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was $35.05. Our model-based fair value is $8.59, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OceanPal Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($5.14 to $11.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of OceanPal Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
The market capitalisation of OceanPal Inc. is $78.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OceanPal Inc. is 5.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
Earnings per share at OceanPal Inc. are $−181.80. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
The dividend yield of OceanPal Inc. is 2.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OceanPal Inc. is −54.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OceanPal Inc. is −9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
The operating margin of OceanPal Inc. is −287% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OceanPal Inc. (SVRN)?
Revenue at OceanPal Inc. is growing −37.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) generate?
The free cash flow of OceanPal Inc. is −$22.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) hold?
OceanPal Inc. holds more cash than debt, $33.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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