SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. ₹10.77, price ₹76.08, upside -85.8%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.2900 – ₹163.20 · fair‑value band ₹8.08 – ₹13.46 · the ₹76.08 price screens above the ₹10.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Swadeshi Industries & Leasing Limited trades in various products in India. It also manufactures and sells PET preforms. The company was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN) currently trades at ₹76.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹10.77, 85.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹34.62 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹76.08 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹6.03, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹8.08 (bear) to ₹13.46 (bull), the price of ₹76.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. reported revenue of ₹685M in FY2026 versus ₹3.4M in FY2022, a compound +276.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹17.2M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.8B (≈ $18.3M) · P/E ratio 87.4 · P/S ratio 2.20 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.8700 · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −86%, SWADEIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹8.08Fair Value ₹10.77Bull ₹13.46
Price ₹76.08 · Upside -85.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.4481 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+299.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+354.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+126.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−12.7% (2021) → 3.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
Compare SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 335 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−85.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth85.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)87.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B8.46× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.30× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA67.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)43· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 36
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹10.77 versus a price of ₹76.08, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SWADEIN?
Our model-based fair value for SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is ₹10.77 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹76.08.
What is the quality score of SWADEIN?
SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹10.77 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹8.08, optimistic scenario ₹13.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹10.77, about −86% upside versus a price of ₹76.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹8.08, optimistic scenario ₹13.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹764M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. it is ₹10.77 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹76.08. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SWADEIN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹76.08, fair value ₹10.77, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SWADEIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹76.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹10.77). For SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. the two are ₹65.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. worth?
The market values SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. at about ₹1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹76.08; our models calculate a fair value of ₹10.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWADEIN?
Our models span a range for SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD.: cautious scenario ₹8.08, base ₹10.77, optimistic ₹13.46 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹76.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SWADEIN?
SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 87.4 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹10.77 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.5, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 67.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SWADEIN from its 52-week high?
SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. trades at ₹76.08, about 53% below its 52-week high of ₹163.20 and 18% above the low of ₹64.72 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹10.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹76.08, calculated fair value ₹10.77 (−86%), Quality Score 32/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SWADEIN calculated?
We run SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹10.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹76.08. Our model-based fair value is ₹10.77, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹13.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
The market capitalisation of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is ₹1.8B (≈ $18.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is 2.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
Earnings per share at SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. are ₹0.8700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 87.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
The net margin of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is 2.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
The operating margin of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
Revenue at SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is growing +85.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +355%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN)?
Earnings per share at SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. are growing −91.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN) generate?
The free cash flow of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is −₹56.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. (SWADEIN) carry?
The net debt of SWADESHI INDUSTRIES LEASING CO.LTD. is ₹318K (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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