Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Swelect Energy Systems Limited ₹757, price ₹593, upside +27.6%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹206.95 – ₹1,451 · fair‑value band ₹529.70 – ₹983.72 · the ₹592.90 price screens below the ₹756.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Swelect Energy Systems Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of solar mounting structures, solar photovoltaic inverters**and other ancillary products in India.
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Swelect Energy Systems Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of solar mounting structures, solar photovoltaic inverters**and other ancillary products in India. The company offers photovoltaic modules, including mono PERC, TOPCon, monofacial, bifacial, domestic content requirements, and non-DCR; module mounting structures (MMS), such as ground mount, rooftop, and solar water pumps; energy storage systems, including solar energy storage systems, and solar-wind hybrid energy storage systems. It also provides electrical BoS, such as string combiner boxes (SCBs), DCDBs, AJBs, and ACDBs; and auxiliary transformers, including servo stabilisers. In addition, the company distributes solar power products, such as solar modules and MMS plus BOS accessories. Further, the company engages in solar and wind power generation, and provision of contract manufacturing and installation and maintenance services. It serves homes/SME'S, EPC, O&M services, and independent power producer markets. The company was formerly known as Numeric Power Systems Limited and changed its name to Swelect Energy Systems Limited in May 2012. Swelect Energy Systems Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Chennai, India.
Stock analysis
Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) currently trades at ₹592.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹756.71, implying the stock looks roughly 21.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹758.06 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹592.90 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹324.57, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹529.70 (bear) to ₹983.72 (bull), the price of ₹592.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Swelect Energy Systems Limited reported revenue of ₹6.6B in FY2026 versus ₹3.5B in FY2022, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹552M in FY2026, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹9.0B (≈ $93.4M) · P/E ratio 15.9 · P/S ratio 1.34 · EPS (TTM) ₹36.33 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 28%, SWELECTES screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹529.70Fair Value ₹756.71Bull ₹983.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹16.73 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.5% vs 11.2%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 16%
2026 sits 345% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Swelect Energy Systems Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 105 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Above median
Fair Value upside+27.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.3% · Above median
Return on assets3.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swelect Energy Systems Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWELECTES
Frequently asked questions
Is Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹756.71 versus a price of ₹592.90, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SWELECTES?
Our model-based fair value for Swelect Energy Systems Limited is ₹756.71 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹592.90.
What is the quality score of SWELECTES?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹756.71 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹529.70, optimistic scenario ₹983.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Swelect Energy Systems Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹756.71, about +28% upside versus a price of ₹592.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹529.70, optimistic scenario ₹983.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Swelect Energy Systems Limited pay a dividend?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.59% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Swelect Energy Systems Limited it is ₹756.71 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹592.90. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Swelect Energy Systems Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SWELECTES trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹592.90, fair value ₹756.71, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SWELECTES?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹592.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹756.71). For Swelect Energy Systems Limited the two are ₹163.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Swelect Energy Systems Limited worth?
The market values Swelect Energy Systems Limited at about ₹9.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹592.90; our models calculate a fair value of ₹756.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWELECTES?
Our models span a range for Swelect Energy Systems Limited: cautious scenario ₹529.70, base ₹756.71, optimistic ₹983.72 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹592.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SWELECTES?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.9 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹756.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Balance-sheet figures for Swelect Energy Systems Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SWELECTES from its 52-week high?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited trades at ₹592.90, about 37% below its 52-week high of ₹934.25 and 19% above the low of ₹496.45 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹756.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Swelect Energy Systems Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value First Solar, Inc, Nextpower Inc, Tongwei Co, Waaree Energies Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Swelect Energy Systems Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹592.90, calculated fair value ₹756.71 (+28%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SWELECTES calculated?
We run Swelect Energy Systems Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹756.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Swelect Energy Systems Limited currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹592.90. Our model-based fair value is ₹756.71, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Swelect Energy Systems Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (₹529.70 to ₹983.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) come from?
Earnings per share at Swelect Energy Systems Limited grew +10.0 % a year from 2016 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.1 %, EBIT margin +20.3 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −15.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Swelect Energy Systems Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
The market capitalisation of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is ₹9.0B (≈ $93.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is 1.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Earnings per share at Swelect Energy Systems Limited are ₹36.33 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
The dividend yield of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is 0.6% (payout 9.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
The net margin of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is 8.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
The operating margin of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Revenue at Swelect Energy Systems Limited is growing −7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +40.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Earnings per share at Swelect Energy Systems Limited are growing +13.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) generate?
The free cash flow of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is −₹1.9B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) carry?
The net debt of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is ₹6.0B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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