EN DE

Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · IN · Market cap ₹9.9B

SE Swelect Energy Systems Limited SWELECTES · NSE
Price₹629.70
Fair Value₹756.71
Upside+20.2%
Quality41/100
Watch Swelect Energy Systems Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.55% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ₹529.70 – ₹983.72 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹616.57 to ₹756.71 (+22.7%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

Fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, review alerts and the diversification check: 14 days of Pro free, no card.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (₹529.70 to ₹983.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ₹529.70 (bear) to ₹983.72 (bull), base ₹756.71. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,451 ₹193.52 Fair Value ₹756.71 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹193.52 – ₹1,451 · fair‑value band ₹529.70 – ₹983.72 · the ₹629.70 price screens below the ₹756.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) currently trades at ₹629.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹756.71, implying the stock looks roughly 20.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Swelect Energy Systems Limited generated revenue of ₹6.6B at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue declined 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at ₹6.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹529.70 (bear case) to ₹983.72 (bull case); at ₹629.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at 20%, SWELECTES screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹468.97 ₹477.68 ₹472.24 76
ROIC Compounder ₹385.50 ₹465.67 ₹534.83 72
Gordon GGM ₹26.35 ₹52.50 ₹79.50 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹247.49 ₹1,026 ₹1,398 54
Lynch FV ₹258.85 ₹369.78 ₹480.72 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹258.85 ₹369.78 ₹480.72 46
EPV ₹385.50 ₹465.67 ₹534.83 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹26.35 ₹52.50 ₹79.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹26.35 ₹45.37 ₹55.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹764.31 ₹1,019 ₹1,274 63
P/S Multiple ₹464.05 ₹618.73 ₹773.41 58
P/B Multiple ₹464.05 ₹618.73 ₹773.41 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,097 ₹1,503 ₹1,909 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,226 ₹1,676 ₹2,125 54
EV/Revenue ₹493.97 ₹758.06 ₹1,022 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹303.83 ₹407.13 ₹607.66 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹468.97 ₹477.68 ₹472.24 76
ROIC Compounder ₹385.50 ₹465.67 ₹534.83 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹529.70 ₹756.71 ₹983.72 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹758.06) versus Dividend Discount (₹45.37). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Notify me when SWELECTES reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹6.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.5%
Net margin 8.4%
Return on equity 6.3%
Free cash flow −₹1.9B FY2026
P/E ratio 16.9
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹36.33
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.3%
Net debt ₹6.0B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Swelect Energy Systems Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of solar mounting structures, solar photovoltaic inverters**and other ancillary products in India.

Full company description

Swelect Energy Systems Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of solar mounting structures, solar photovoltaic inverters**and other ancillary products in India. The company offers photovoltaic modules, including mono PERC, TOPCon, monofacial, bifacial, domestic content requirements, and non-DCR; module mounting structures (MMS), such as ground mount, rooftop, and solar water pumps; energy storage systems, including solar energy storage systems, and solar-wind hybrid energy storage systems. It also provides electrical BoS, such as string combiner boxes (SCBs), DCDBs, AJBs, and ACDBs; and auxiliary transformers, including servo stabilisers. In addition, the company distributes solar power products, such as solar modules and MMS plus BOS accessories. Further, the company engages in solar and wind power generation, and provision of contract manufacturing and installation and maintenance services. It serves homes/SME'S, EPC, O&M services, and independent power producer markets. The company was formerly known as Numeric Power Systems Limited and changed its name to Swelect Energy Systems Limited in May 2012. Swelect Energy Systems Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Chennai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Swelect Energy Systems Limited reported revenue of ₹6.6B in FY2026 versus ₹3.5B in FY2022, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹552M in FY2026, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹6.6B
Latest YoY
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue +16.7%/yr
FY22 ₹3.5B
FY23 ₹2.4B
FY24 ₹2.4B
FY25 ₹6.2B
FY26 ₹6.6B
Net income +14.2%/yr
FY22 ₹324M
FY23 ₹55.4M
FY24 ₹620M
FY25 ₹126M
FY26 ₹552M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) +10.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.1 pp

of which total revenue +8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin +20.3 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −18.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch SWELECTES: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swelect Energy Systems Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWELECTES

Peer Group

Solar · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Above median
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.07× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.50× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 60 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 25 · sector 0
HEALTH 79 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $240.91 $392.12 +63%
Nextpower Inc NXT $103.67 $69.61 -33%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,668 ₹2,709 +2%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥12.89 ¥12.13 -6%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.52 ¥6.47 +43%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $40.77 $24.15 -41%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.28 ¥6.76 -34%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥22.35 ¥31.86 +43%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,017 ₹648.94 -36%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥13.64 ¥7.97 -42%

Compare Swelect Energy Systems Limited with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Technology stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹756.71 versus a price of ₹629.70, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SWELECTES?
Our model-based fair value for Swelect Energy Systems Limited is ₹756.71 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹629.70.
What is the quality score of SWELECTES?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES)?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SWELECTES?
The net profit margin of Swelect Energy Systems Limited is about 8.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Swelect Energy Systems Limited pay a dividend?
Swelect Energy Systems Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Swelect Energy Systems Limited and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.