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Syncona Limited (SYNC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Syncona Limited £0.95, price £1.18, upside -19.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · GB · ISIN GG00B8P59C08

SL Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Syncona Limited

SYNC · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value £0.9500 · Overvalued (−19%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -43.4% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/9)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 7 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£2.22 £0.7970 Fair Value £0.9500 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.7970 – £2.22 · fair‑value band £0.5300 – £1.61 · the £1.18 price screens above the £0.9500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Syncona Limited is a fund specializes in investments in hedge, equity and long-term alternative investment funds across multiple asset classes. It manages private equity, debt, fixed income and alternative investments. The fund prefers to invest in healthcare and life sciences sector with focus on Cell therapy, gene therapy, biologics and small molecules.

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Syncona Limited is a fund specializes in investments in hedge, equity and long-term alternative investment funds across multiple asset classes. It manages private equity, debt, fixed income and alternative investments. The fund prefers to invest in healthcare and life sciences sector with focus on Cell therapy, gene therapy, biologics and small molecules. The fund invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It targets attractive medium to long term returns by investing in leading long-only and alternative investment funds with proven managers and across multiple asset classes. The firm invests in separately managed account portfolios.

Stock analysis

Syncona Limited (SYNC) currently trades at £1.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.9500, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of £1.14 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the £1.18 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at £0.4500, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: £0.5300 (bear) to £1.61 (bull), the price of £1.18 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Syncona Limited reported revenue of £57.3M in FY2026 versus £18.7M in FY2022, a compound +32.3%/yr. Reported net income was −£8.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 717M GBX · P/S ratio 32.1 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0100 · Net margin −15.4% · Return on equity −0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin −11,993% · Revenue (TTM) £20.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −19%, SYNC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.5300 Fair Value £0.9500 Bull £1.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.4900 £0.8500 £1.41 71
Rev-Margin DCF £0.2900 £0.4500 £0.8000 65
NCAV (Graham) £0.8500 £1.14 £1.71 51
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.8500 £1.14 £1.71 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.4900 £0.8500 £1.41 71
Rev-Margin DCF £0.2900 £0.4500 £0.8000 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 12/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.4% a year for the price.

SYNC screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 659 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −43% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 46.82× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 40.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)7 · sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 80

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $124.01 $52.88 −57%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $98.44 $19.97 −80%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.15 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $180.25 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $512.37 $579.51 +13%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $159.39 $312.27 +96%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.17 $208.34 +100%

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£0.9500 −24%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Syncona Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYNC

Frequently asked questions

Is Syncona Limited (SYNC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.9500 versus a price of £1.18, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SYNC?
Our model-based fair value for Syncona Limited is £0.9500 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.18.
What is the quality score of SYNC?
Syncona Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.9500 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.5300, optimistic scenario £1.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Syncona Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.9500, about −19% upside versus a price of £1.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.5300, optimistic scenario £1.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
Syncona Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £20.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Syncona Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +19.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SYNC use?
Our models discount Syncona Limited at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Syncona Limited that is +19.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Syncona Limited (SYNC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Syncona Limited grew -6.1 % a year. The price currently implies +19.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Syncona Limited (SYNC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Syncona Limited (+19.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.26 %: that much free cash flow Syncona Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Syncona Limited it is £0.9500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £1.18. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Syncona Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SYNC trades above its calculated fair value: price £1.18, fair value £0.9500, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SYNC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.9500). For Syncona Limited the two are £0.2280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Syncona Limited worth?
The market values Syncona Limited at about 717M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £1.18; our models calculate a fair value of £0.9500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SYNC?
Our models span a range for Syncona Limited: cautious scenario £0.5300, base £0.9500, optimistic £1.61 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £1.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Syncona Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −0.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SYNC from its 52-week high?
Syncona Limited trades at £1.18, at its 52-week high of £1.18 and 36% above the low of £0.8690 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.9500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Syncona Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Syncona Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £1.18, calculated fair value £0.9500 (−19%), Quality Score 57/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SYNC calculated?
We run Syncona Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.9500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Syncona Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £1.18. Our model-based fair value is £0.9500, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Syncona Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (£0.5300 to £1.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Syncona Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
The market capitalisation of Syncona Limited is 717M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Syncona Limited is 32.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
Earnings per share at Syncona Limited are £−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
The net margin of Syncona Limited is −15.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Syncona Limited is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Syncona Limited is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
The operating margin of Syncona Limited is −11,993% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Syncona Limited (SYNC)?
Revenue at Syncona Limited is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Syncona Limited (SYNC) hold?
Syncona Limited holds more cash than debt, 1.9M GBX net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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