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Seazen Group Limited (SZENF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Seazen Group Limited $0.81, price $0.70, upside +15.7%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · US · Home Hong Kong

SG Seazen Group Limited logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Seazen Group Limited

SZENF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.8100 · Undervalued (+15.7%)
!Quality 38/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.2400 to $1.38
!Weak on past: 2 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.7000 $0.7000 Fair Value $0.8100 Nov 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range $0.7000 – $0.7000 · fair‑value band $0.2400 – $1.38 · the $0.7000 price screens below the $0.8100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Seazen Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, management, and sale of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company primarily develops and sells residential properties and mixed-use complexes, as well as provides commercial property management and other services.

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Seazen Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, management, and sale of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company primarily develops and sells residential properties and mixed-use complexes, as well as provides commercial property management and other services. It also provides asset operation and management, information technology, and children entertainment services. In addition, the company offers business management consulting and pension services. Further, it develops energy technology; and engages in retail business. Seazen Group Limited was formerly known as Future Land Development Holdings Limited and changed its name to Seazen Group Limited in November 2019. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Seazen Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Wealth Zone Hong Kong Investments Limited.

Stock analysis

Seazen Group Limited (SZENF) currently trades at $0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8100, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1.16 per share, and 3 of the 7 models we run sit above the $0.7000 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.5900, and 4 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.2400 (bear) to $1.38 (bull), the price of $0.7000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Seazen Group Limited reported revenue of 53.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 170B CNY in FY2021, a compound −25.2%/yr. Reported net income was 393M CNY in FY2025, compounding −53.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $4.9B · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin 13.4% · Revenue (TTM) 53.1B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 16%, SZENF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2400 Fair Value $0.8100 Bull $1.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.6400 $0.5900 $0.5700 71
EV/EBITDA $1.18 $1.81 $2.45 66
EV/EBIT $1.67 $2.48 $3.28 65
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.1000 $0.1400 $0.1700 58
P/B Multiple $0.1000 $0.1400 $0.1700 55
EV/EBIT $1.67 $2.48 $3.28 65
EV/EBITDA $1.18 $1.81 $2.45 66
EV/Revenue $0.5900 $1.16 $1.73 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4800 $0.6400 $0.9600 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.6400 $0.5900 $0.5700 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−47.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−47.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−47.4% vs −11.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 13%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +152.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Return on assets 1.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −43.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.87× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)56 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$45.90 HK$71.49 +56%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹658.40 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$9.94 HK$7.28 −27%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.77 ¥5.87 +2%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%

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Seazen Group Limited · Fair Value
$0.8100 +14%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seazen Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SZENF

Frequently asked questions

Is Seazen Group Limited (SZENF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8100 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $0.7000, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SZENF?
Our model-based fair value for Seazen Group Limited is $0.8100 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $0.7000.
What is the quality score of SZENF?
Seazen Group Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8100 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $1.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seazen Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8100, about +16% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $0.7000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $1.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
Seazen Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 53.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seazen Group Limited it is $0.8100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.7000. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seazen Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SZENF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7000, fair value $0.8100, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SZENF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8100). For Seazen Group Limited the two are $0.1100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seazen Group Limited worth?
The market values Seazen Group Limited at about $4.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.7000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SZENF?
Our models span a range for Seazen Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.2400, base $0.8100, optimistic $1.38 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.7000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seazen Group Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.87 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SZENF from its 52-week high?
Seazen Group Limited trades at $0.7000, at its 52-week high of $0.7000 and at the low of $0.7000 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seazen Group Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seazen Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.7000, calculated fair value $0.8100 (+16%), Quality Score 38/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SZENF calculated?
We run Seazen Group Limited through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Seazen Group Limited currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $0.7000. Our model-based fair value is $0.8100, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Seazen Group Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.2400 to $1.38). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Seazen Group Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
The market capitalisation of Seazen Group Limited is $4.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seazen Group Limited is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
Earnings per share at Seazen Group Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
The net margin of Seazen Group Limited is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seazen Group Limited is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seazen Group Limited is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
The operating margin of Seazen Group Limited is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
Revenue at Seazen Group Limited is growing −43.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Seazen Group Limited (SZENF)?
Earnings per share at Seazen Group Limited are growing −27.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Seazen Group Limited (SZENF) generate?
The free cash flow of Seazen Group Limited is −2.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Seazen Group Limited (SZENF) carry?
The net debt of Seazen Group Limited is 52.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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