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Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Darling Ingredients Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN US2372661015

DI Darling Ingredients Inc logo Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Darling Ingredients Inc

DAR · US

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $69.95 · Fairly valued (+7%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +11.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/14)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$87.18 $27.63 Fair Value $69.95 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $27.63 – $87.18 · the $65.36 price screens below the $69.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Darling Ingredients Inc. develops, produces, and sells sustainable natural ingredients from edible and inedible bio-nutrients in North America, Europe, China, South America, and internationally.

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Darling Ingredients Inc. develops, produces, and sells sustainable natural ingredients from edible and inedible bio-nutrients in North America, Europe, China, South America, and internationally. The Feed Ingredients segment collects and processes animal by-products into non-food grade oils and protein meals; bakery residuals into cookie meal used in poultry and swine rations; used cooking oil into non-food grade fats; and porcine and bovine blood into blood plasma powder and hemoglobin. This segment is also involved in the processing of selected portions of slaughtered animals into pet food, as well as of cattle hides and hog skins; production of organic fertilizers; rearing and processing of black soldier fly larvae into specialty proteins and fats for use in animal feed and pet food; and grease trap collection services to food service establishments. Its Food Ingredients segment engages in the purchase and processing of beef and pork bone chips, beef hides, and pig and fish skins into collagen; collection and processing of porcine and bovine intestines into natural casings; extraction and processing of porcine mucosa into crude heparin; collection and refining of animal fat into food grade fat; and processing of bones to bone chips and bone ash. The Fuel Ingredients segment is involved in the conversion of organic sludge and food waste into biogas; collection and conversion of fallen stock and certain animal by-products into low-grade energy sources; and processing of manure into natural bio-phosphate. It also provides environmental services, including disposal services; and yellow grease, fuel feedstock, and agriculture-based biofuels. The company sells its products under the Rendac, Sonac, FASA, Ecoson, Rousselot, Gelnex, and CTH brands. The company was formerly known as Darling International Inc. and changed its name to Darling Ingredients Inc. in May 2014. Darling Ingredients Inc. was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Stock analysis

Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) currently trades at $65.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.95, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $67.30 per share, and 5 of the 26 models we run sit above the $65.36 price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at $7.26, and 21 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Darling Ingredients Inc reported revenue of $6.1B in FY2025 versus $4.7B in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $62.8M in FY2025, compounding −44.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $10.5B · P/E ratio 45.7 · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) $1.43 · Dividend yield 6.9% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 7%, DAR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $69.95 Fair Value $69.95 Bull $69.95
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.00 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $20.71 $19.68 $14.83 74
FCF DCF $30.50 $72.63 $144.78 72
Owner Earnings n/a $3.33 $23.60 71
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $30.50 $72.63 $144.78 72
Owner Earnings n/a $3.33 $23.60 71
5Y Revenue Exit $8.90 $27.67 $52.11 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $28.26 $67.12 $115.28 69
5Y P/E Exit n/a $4.83 $12.11 65
10Y Revenue Exit $15.02 $35.13 $64.02 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $28.56 $63.85 $116.29 63
10Y P/E Exit $8.38 $18.51 $30.91 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.69 $11.95 $16.38 62
Lynch FV $3.10 $4.43 $5.76 59
PEG = 1.0 $3.10 $4.43 $5.76 55
EPV n/a $1.16 $4.27 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $38.39 $79.81 $126.61 64
DDM Multi-Stage $38.39 $67.30 $83.77 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.22 $8.30 $10.37 63
P/S Multiple $5.04 $6.72 $8.40 58
P/B Multiple $5.04 $6.72 $8.40 55
EV/EBIT $8.01 $18.59 $29.18 62
EV/EBITDA $31.73 $50.23 $68.72 66
EV/Revenue n/a $8.63 $18.34 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.90 $19.97 $29.81 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $30.27 $69.40 $134.93 71
Rev-Margin DCF $8.90 $27.77 $51.94 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.71 $19.68 $14.83 74
ROIC Compounder n/a $1.16 $4.27 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.08 $7.26 $9.43 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Revenue growth 31 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 6%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+9.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.4%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 650 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.82× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG 4.31× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)43 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)62 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)59 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.66 CHF 57.26 −26%
Danone S.A BN €60.92 €48.41 −21%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.89 ¥37.28 +10%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.73 $24.66 +0%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,371 ₹724.74 −47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.56 ¥41.84 +58%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥24.89 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $36.81 $27.48 −25%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.71 SGD 4.19 SGD +13%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 75.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.95 versus a price of $65.36, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DAR?
Our model-based fair value for Darling Ingredients Inc is $69.95 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $65.36.
What is the quality score of DAR?
Darling Ingredients Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $69.95 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Darling Ingredients Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $69.95, about +7% upside versus a price of $65.36 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Darling Ingredients Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Darling Ingredients Inc pay a dividend?
Darling Ingredients Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Darling Ingredients Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +9.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.4 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DAR use?
Our models discount Darling Ingredients Inc at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Darling Ingredients Inc that is +9.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Darling Ingredients Inc grew +11.4 % a year. The price currently implies +9.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Darling Ingredients Inc (+9.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.49 %: that much free cash flow Darling Ingredients Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Darling Ingredients Inc it is $69.95 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $65.36. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Darling Ingredients Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, DAR trades below its calculated fair value: price $65.36, fair value $69.95, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($65.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($69.95). For Darling Ingredients Inc the two are $4.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Darling Ingredients Inc worth?
The market values Darling Ingredients Inc at about $10.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $65.36; our models calculate a fair value of $69.95 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of DAR?
Darling Ingredients Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.7 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $69.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.3, P/B 2.1, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 14.1.
What is the PEG ratio of DAR?
The PEG ratio of Darling Ingredients Inc is 4.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Darling Ingredients Inc (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 4.9%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DAR from its 52-week high?
Darling Ingredients Inc trades at $65.36, about 1% below its 52-week high of $66.02 and 124% above the low of $29.15 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $69.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Darling Ingredients Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Darling Ingredients Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $65.36, calculated fair value $69.95 (+7%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DAR calculated?
We run Darling Ingredients Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $69.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Darling Ingredients Inc currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $65.36. Our model-based fair value is $69.95, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Darling Ingredients Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($69.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) come from?
Earnings per share at Darling Ingredients Inc grew +17.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.6 %, EBIT margin +9.5 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Darling Ingredients Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The market capitalisation of Darling Ingredients Inc is $10.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Darling Ingredients Inc is 0.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Earnings per share at Darling Ingredients Inc are $1.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The dividend yield of Darling Ingredients Inc is 6.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The net margin of Darling Ingredients Inc is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Darling Ingredients Inc is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Darling Ingredients Inc is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
The operating margin of Darling Ingredients Inc is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Revenue at Darling Ingredients Inc is growing +12.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Earnings per share at Darling Ingredients Inc are growing −44.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) carry?
The net debt of Darling Ingredients Inc is $4.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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