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Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $10.0B

DI Darling Ingredients Inc logo Darling Ingredients Inc DAR · US
Price$60.51
Fair Value$8.30
Upside-86.3%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range $6.13 – $10.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$87.18 $27.63 Fair Value $8.30 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $27.63 – $87.18 · fair‑value band $6.13 – $10.37 · the $60.51 price screens above the $8.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) currently trades at $60.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.30, implying the stock looks roughly 86.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Darling Ingredients Inc generated revenue of $6.3B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at $4.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.13 (bear case) to $10.37 (bull case); at $60.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -86%, DAR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $30.27 $69.40 $134.93 80
Residual Income $20.71 $19.68 $14.83 76
Rev-Margin DCF $8.90 $27.77 $51.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $30.50 $72.63 $144.78 38
Owner Earnings $3.33 $23.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.90 $27.67 $52.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $28.26 $67.12 $115.28 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.46 $11.51 38
10Y Revenue Exit $15.02 $35.13 $64.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $28.56 $63.85 $116.29 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.26 $18.24 $30.42 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.69 $11.95 $16.38 54
Lynch FV $3.10 $4.43 $5.76 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.10 $4.43 $5.76 46
EPV $1.16 $4.27 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $38.39 $79.81 $126.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage $38.39 $67.30 $83.77 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.93 $7.90 $9.88 63
P/S Multiple $5.04 $6.72 $8.40 58
P/B Multiple $5.04 $6.72 $8.40 55
EV/EBIT $9.88 $21.08 $32.29 53
EV/EBITDA $31.73 $50.23 $68.72 54
EV/Revenue $8.63 $18.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.90 $19.97 $29.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $30.27 $69.40 $134.93 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.90 $27.77 $51.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.71 $19.68 $14.83 76
ROIC Compounder $1.16 $4.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.94 $7.06 $9.18 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($67.30) versus Economic Profit ($1.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.3%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow $679M FY2025
P/E ratio 44.1
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.43
EPS growth (YoY) -44.6%
Net debt $4.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Darling Ingredients Inc. develops, produces, and sells sustainable natural ingredients from edible and inedible bio-nutrients in North America, Europe, China, South America, and internationally.

Full company description

Darling Ingredients Inc. develops, produces, and sells sustainable natural ingredients from edible and inedible bio-nutrients in North America, Europe, China, South America, and internationally. The Feed Ingredients segment collects and processes animal by-products into non-food grade oils and protein meals; bakery residuals into cookie meal used in poultry and swine rations; used cooking oil into non-food grade fats; and porcine and bovine blood into blood plasma powder and hemoglobin. This segment is also involved in the processing of selected portions of slaughtered animals into pet food, as well as of cattle hides and hog skins; production of organic fertilizers; rearing and processing of black soldier fly larvae into specialty proteins and fats for use in animal feed and pet food; and grease trap collection services to food service establishments. Its Food Ingredients segment engages in the purchase and processing of beef and pork bone chips, beef hides, and pig and fish skins into collagen; collection and processing of porcine and bovine intestines into natural casings; extraction and processing of porcine mucosa into crude heparin; collection and refining of animal fat into food grade fat; and processing of bones to bone chips and bone ash. The Fuel Ingredients segment is involved in the conversion of organic sludge and food waste into biogas; collection and conversion of fallen stock and certain animal by-products into low-grade energy sources; and processing of manure into natural bio-phosphate. It also provides environmental services, including disposal services; and yellow grease, fuel feedstock, and agriculture-based biofuels. The company sells its products under the Rendac, Sonac, FASA, Ecoson, Rousselot, Gelnex, and CTH brands. The company was formerly known as Darling International Inc. and changed its name to Darling Ingredients Inc. in May 2014. Darling Ingredients Inc. was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Darling Ingredients Inc reported revenue of $6.1B in FY2025 versus $4.7B in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $62.8M in FY2025, compounding −44.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.1B
Latest YoY
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+9.6%
Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY21 $4.7B
FY22 $6.5B
FY23 $6.8B
FY24 $5.7B
FY25 $6.1B
Net income −44.3%/yr
FY21 $651M
FY22 $738M
FY23 $648M
FY24 $279M
FY25 $62.8M

DAR screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Darling Ingredients Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 650 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 4.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 30
FUTURE 62 · sector 20
PAST 20 · sector 27
HEALTH 59 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.30 versus a price of $60.51, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAR?
Our model-based fair value for Darling Ingredients Inc is $8.30 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $60.51.
What is the quality score of DAR?
Darling Ingredients Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR)?
Darling Ingredients Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DAR?
The net profit margin of Darling Ingredients Inc is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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