Jaya Swarasa Agung PT (TAYS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 54.9B IDR (≈ $5.5M) · ISIN ID1000164601
What is Jaya Swarasa Agung PT really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 68% above our fair value of 29.69 IDR.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (44.31 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (22.15 IDR to 44.31 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range 50.00 IDR – 745.00 IDR · fair‑value band 22.15 IDR – 44.31 IDR · the 50.00 IDR price screens above the 29.69 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
Jaya Swarasa Agung PT (TAYS) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.69 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 68.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jaya Swarasa Agung PT generated revenue of 114B IDR at a net margin of −52.7%. Revenue grew 35.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −81.1%. Net debt stands at 213B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 22.15 IDR (bear case) to 44.31 IDR (bull case); at 50.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −41%, TAYS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 5.99 IDR per share, which is 20.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Jaya Swarasa Agung Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides snack food products in Indonesia. The company offers wafer rolls under the Miniro, Wasuka, and Nitchi Wafer Stick brands; crisps under the Tricks Crisps and Tiles Potato Crackers brands; chocolates under the Nitchi Paste and Nitchi Sprinkle brand names; and ekstrudat under the Doomoe Corn …
Full company description
PT Jaya Swarasa Agung Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides snack food products in Indonesia. The company offers wafer rolls under the Miniro, Wasuka, and Nitchi Wafer Stick brands; crisps under the Tricks Crisps and Tiles Potato Crackers brands; chocolates under the Nitchi Paste and Nitchi Sprinkle brand names; and ekstrudat under the Doomoe Corn brand. It also provides biscuits, crackers, confectionery, and extruded puffs; and engages in trading activities. It exports its products to ASEAN countries, China, Taiwan, Australia, the Middle East, and the United States. PT Jaya Swarasa Agung Tbk was founded in 1998 and is based in Tangerang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Jaya Swarasa Agung PT reported revenue of 167B IDR in FY2024 versus 308B IDR in FY2020, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was −67.9B IDR in FY2024.
TAYS screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 670 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| McCormick & Company MKCV | $55.65 | $43.29 | −22% |
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