Trican Well Service Ltd (TCW) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −9.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (C$4.86 to C$10.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from C$4.86 (bear) to C$10.84 (bull), base C$6.67. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$1.88 – C$8.00 · fair‑value band C$4.86 – C$10.84 · the C$6.00 price screens below the C$6.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Trican Well Service Ltd (TCW) currently trades at C$6.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$6.67, implying the stock looks roughly 11.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Trican Well Service Ltd generated revenue of C$1.2B at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 27.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.4%. Net debt stands at C$122M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$4.86 (bear case) to C$10.84 (bull case); at C$6.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at 11%, TCW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$8.34) versus Asset-Based (C$2.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trican Well Service Ltd., an equipment services company, provides various products, equipment, services, and technology for use in the drilling, completion, stimulation, and reworking of oil and gas wells in Canada.
Full company description
Trican Well Service Ltd., an equipment services company, provides various products, equipment, services, and technology for use in the drilling, completion, stimulation, and reworking of oil and gas wells in Canada. The company offers hydraulic fracturing solutions, including slick water and high-viscosity friction reducer and guar alternatives fluid systems, other systems, dissolvable ball sealers and diverting agents, logistical and laboratory solutions, fracture design, and minifrac test and analysis, as well as sand, resin coated sand, and ceramic proppants. It also provides cementing solutions, such as pre-flushes and spacers, cement plugs, lost circulation, cement design, and laboratory solutions, as well as surface, intermediate, production, liner, horizontal, and remedial/squeeze cementing; and acidizing solutions comprising fracture acidizing and production enhancement, formation damage, scales, emulsions, and organic deposits. In addition, the company offers coiled tubing solutions, which include coiled tubing fracturing, e-coil, in-house engineering, and acidizing and production enhancement, as well as milling, such as fracturing plugs and ports, stage tool/debris sub, cement milling, and confirmation runs; technical solutions comprising lab services; and iron horse energy services. Further, it provides nitrogen services; and sells chemicals. The company was formerly known as Trican Oilwell Service Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Trican Well Service Ltd. in June 1997. Trican Well Service Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trican Well Service Ltd reported revenue of C$1.1B in FY2025 versus C$562M in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$112M in FY2025, compounding +74.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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