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Thorney Technologies Ltd (TEK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$34.3M

TT Thorney Technologies Ltd TEK · AU
PriceA$0.0900
Fair ValueA$0.1051
Upside+16.8%
Quality73/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.0527 – A$0.1631 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from A$0.1039 to A$0.1051 (+1.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −6.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0527 to A$0.1631). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.4950 A$0.0900 Fair Value A$0.1051 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0900 – A$0.4950 · fair‑value band A$0.0527 – A$0.1631 · the A$0.0900 price screens below the A$0.1051 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Thorney Technologies Ltd (TEK) currently trades at A$0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1051, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$1.4M. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0527 (bear case) to A$0.1631 (bull case); at A$0.0900, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 17%, TEK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple A$0.1700 A$0.2300 A$0.2800 55
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1300 A$0.1800 A$0.2700 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple A$0.1700 A$0.2300 A$0.2800 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1300 A$0.1800 A$0.2700 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.2300) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1800). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$1.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.2%
Return on equity -12.2%
Free cash flow A$4.6M FY2025
Operating margin 87.7%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0300
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -82.9%
Net cash A$2.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thorney Technologies Ltd invests in technology related companies. The company was formerly known as Australian Renewable Fuels Limited and changed its name to Thorney Technologies Ltd in December 2016. Thorney Technologies Ltd was founded in 2005 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thorney Technologies Ltd reported revenue of A$2.8M in FY2025 versus A$65.8M in FY2021, a compound −54.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$2.8M
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.2%
Revenue −54.5%/yr
FY21 A$65.8M
FY22 −A$61.8M
FY23 −A$22.6M
FY24 −A$11.7M
FY25 A$2.8M
Net income
FY21 A$52.8M
FY22 −A$45.2M
FY23 −A$25.5M
FY24 −A$21.7M
FY25 −A$4.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thorney Technologies Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TEK

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 88% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 17.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 63 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thorney Technologies Ltd (TEK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1051 versus a price of A$0.0900, about +17% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TEK?
Our model-based fair value for Thorney Technologies Ltd is A$0.1051 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0900.
What is the quality score of TEK?
Thorney Technologies Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thorney Technologies Ltd (TEK)?
Thorney Technologies Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TEK?
The net profit margin of Thorney Technologies Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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