Telefast Indonesia (TFAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Telefast Indonesia IDR 88, price IDR 191, upside -53.8%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 88.00 IDR – 8,000 IDR · fair‑value band 58.27 IDR – 110.35 IDR · the 191.00 IDR price screens above the 88.28 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication products and digital platform services in Indonesia. The company operates through Digital Products and Digital Services segments.
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PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication products and digital platform services in Indonesia. The company operates through Digital Products and Digital Services segments. The company provides logistic services, including first mile and last mile, drop point, middle mile, and digital logistics services; and Fastpoint, an express business with a container concept that provides SiCepat Ekspres drop point network services. It offers human resource services comprising manpower supply solution; and HR-KU, a human resources information system that provides human resource management services, including attendance, leave, reimbursement, TAS, employee database and information, internal bulletin, and digital store module. In addition, the company provides telecommunication and mechanical, electrical, and consulting services; operates trading, land transportation, tourism, and logistics businesses; provision of information technology and other computer services; and vehicle rental activities, as well as industrial, agriculture, workshop, agency, and printing services. PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk was founded in 2008 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Telefast Indonesia (TFAS) currently trades at 191.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 88.28 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 116.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 58.27 IDR (bear) to 110.35 IDR (bull), the price of 191.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Telefast Indonesia reported revenue of 319B IDR in FY2025 versus 645B IDR in FY2021, a compound −16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −24.1B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 317B IDR (≈ $17.7M) · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) −13.00 IDR · Net margin −7.5% · Return on equity −12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% · Operating margin 0.7% · Revenue (TTM) 346B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −54%, TFAS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 58.27 IDRFair Value 88.28 IDRBull 110.35 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.6% (2020) → −1.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−55% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth32% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Above median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 1
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)86· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 73
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telefast Indonesia Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TFAS
Frequently asked questions
Is Telefast Indonesia (TFAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 88.28 IDR versus a price of 191.00 IDR, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TFAS?
Our model-based fair value for Telefast Indonesia is 88.28 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 191.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TFAS?
Telefast Indonesia has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 88.28 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 58.27 IDR, optimistic scenario 110.35 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Telefast Indonesia stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 88.28 IDR, about −54% upside versus a price of 191.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 58.27 IDR, optimistic scenario 110.35 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
Telefast Indonesia reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 346B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Telefast Indonesia it is 88.28 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 191.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Telefast Indonesia stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TFAS trades above its calculated fair value: price 191.00 IDR, fair value 88.28 IDR, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TFAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (191.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (88.28 IDR). For Telefast Indonesia the two are 102.72 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Telefast Indonesia worth?
The market values Telefast Indonesia at about 317B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 191.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 88.28 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TFAS?
Our models span a range for Telefast Indonesia : cautious scenario 58.27 IDR, base 88.28 IDR, optimistic 110.35 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 191.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Telefast Indonesia (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −12.5%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TFAS from its 52-week high?
Telefast Indonesia trades at 191.00 IDR, about 53% below its 52-week high of 410.00 IDR and 19% above the low of 161.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 88.28 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Telefast Indonesia ?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, TriNet Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Telefast Indonesia stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 191.00 IDR, calculated fair value 88.28 IDR (−54%), Quality Score 45/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TFAS calculated?
We run Telefast Indonesia through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 88.28 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Telefast Indonesia itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 191.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 88.28 IDR, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Telefast Indonesia right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (110.35 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (58.27 IDR to 110.35 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Telefast Indonesia
How large is the market capitalisation of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
The market capitalisation of Telefast Indonesia is 317B IDR (≈ $17.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Telefast Indonesia is 0.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
Earnings per share at Telefast Indonesia are −13.00 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
The net margin of Telefast Indonesia is −7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Telefast Indonesia is −12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Telefast Indonesia is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
The operating margin of Telefast Indonesia is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
Revenue at Telefast Indonesia is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Telefast Indonesia (TFAS)?
Earnings per share at Telefast Indonesia are growing +303% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Telefast Indonesia (TFAS) generate?
The free cash flow of Telefast Indonesia is −6.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Telefast Indonesia (TFAS) carry?
The net debt of Telefast Indonesia is 38.2B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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