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PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, (TFAS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 303B IDR

PT PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, TFAS · JK
Price192.00 IDR
Fair Value88.28 IDR
Upside-54.0%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -6.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range 58.27 IDR – 110.35 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (110.35 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (58.27 IDR to 110.35 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8,000 IDR 88.00 IDR Fair Value 88.28 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 88.00 IDR – 8,000 IDR · fair‑value band 58.27 IDR – 110.35 IDR · the 192.00 IDR price screens above the 88.28 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, (TFAS) currently trades at 192.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 88.28 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 54.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, generated revenue of 346B IDR at a net margin of -6.2%. Revenue grew 32.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.5%. Net debt stands at 38.2B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 58.27 IDR (bear case) to 110.35 IDR (bull case); at 192.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at -54%, TFAS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 50.17 IDR 67.22 IDR 100.33 IDR 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 50.17 IDR 67.22 IDR 100.33 IDR 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 346B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.0%
Net margin -6.2%
Return on equity -12.5%
Free cash flow −6.3B IDR FY2025
Operating margin 0.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -13.00 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +303%
Net debt 38.2B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication products and digital platform services in Indonesia. The company operates through Digital Products and Digital Services segments.

Full company description

PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication products and digital platform services in Indonesia. The company operates through Digital Products and Digital Services segments. The company provides logistic services, including first mile and last mile, drop point, middle mile, and digital logistics services; and Fastpoint, an express business with a container concept that provides SiCepat Ekspres drop point network services. It offers human resource services comprising manpower supply solution; and HR-KU, a human resources information system that provides human resource management services, including attendance, leave, reimbursement, TAS, employee database and information, internal bulletin, and digital store module. In addition, the company provides telecommunication and mechanical, electrical, and consulting services; operates trading, land transportation, tourism, and logistics businesses; provision of information technology and other computer services; and vehicle rental activities, as well as industrial, agriculture, workshop, agency, and printing services. PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk was founded in 2008 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, reported revenue of 319B IDR in FY2025 versus 645B IDR in FY2021, a compound −16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −24.1B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
319B IDR
Latest YoY
−20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Revenue −16.1%/yr
FY21 645B IDR
FY22 766B IDR
FY23 633B IDR
FY24 402B IDR
FY25 319B IDR
Net income
FY21 26.6B IDR
FY22 1.2B IDR
FY23 889M IDR
FY24 −9.5B IDR
FY25 −24.1B IDR

TFAS screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Adecco Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TFAS

Peer Group

Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 41
FUTURE 100 · sector 1
PAST 0 · sector 36
HEALTH 86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 60

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adecco Group ADEN CHF 20.46 CHF 23.73 +16%
Korn Ferry, KFY $78.61 $114.56 +46%
Robert Half Inc RHI $36.70 $22.10 -40%
TriNet Group TNET $57.56 $70.85 +23%
ManpowerGroup Inc MAN $39.02 $29.67 -24%
Insperity, Inc NSP $49.48 $17.34 -65%
FESCO Group 600861 ¥13.24 ¥45.46 +243%
Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP 47.40 PLN 65.45 PLN +38%
Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI $37.43 $38.42 +3%
Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831 5.36 SAR 6.92 SAR +29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, (TFAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 88.28 IDR versus a price of 192.00 IDR, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TFAS?
Our model-based fair value for PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, is 88.28 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 192.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TFAS?
PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, (TFAS)?
PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 346B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TFAS?
The net profit margin of PT Telefast Indonesia Tbk, is about -6.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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