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The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of The Generation Essentials Group $1.50, price $0.86, upside +73.4%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · ISIN KYG382681016

TG The Generation Essentials Group logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

The Generation Essentials Group

TGE · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $1.50 · Strongly undervalued (+73%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +7.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.05 $0.7780 Fair Value $1.50 Jun 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range $0.7780 – $12.05 · fair‑value band $1.12 – $1.87 · the $0.8629 price screens below the $1.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

The Generation Essentials Group, a media and entertainment ecosystem, engages in the fashion, arts, lifestyle, cultural, entertainment, hospitality, and F&B businesses in China, Hong Kong, Europe, America, and Southeast Asia. It operates in three segments: Media and Entertainment; Hotel Operation, Hospitality and VIP Services; and Strategic Investment.

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The Generation Essentials Group, a media and entertainment ecosystem, engages in the fashion, arts, lifestyle, cultural, entertainment, hospitality, and F&B businesses in China, Hong Kong, Europe, America, and Southeast Asia. It operates in three segments: Media and Entertainment; Hotel Operation, Hospitality and VIP Services; and Strategic Investment. The Media and Entertainment segment engages in the provision of print and digital advertising campaigns; licensing; subscriptions; sales of magazines and newspapers; and value-added marketing services, including branded content, video production, social media activation, event creation, and experiential marketing services. Its Hotel Operation, Hospitality and VIP Services segment is involved in hotel operations, hospitality, and VIP services; and holding of premium whole building properties. The Strategic Investment segment engages in proprietary investments and management of investment portfolios, including listed and unlisted equity shares investments and movie income rights investments. The company also publishes print publications and digital content, including L'Officiel, The Art Newspaper, and DigFin; operates IP extended business in the areas of F&B; and hosts a multitude of cultural events. The company is headquartered in Paris, France. The Generation Essentials Group operates as a subsidiary of AMTD Digital Inc.

Stock analysis

The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) currently trades at $0.8629, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.50, implying the stock looks roughly 42.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 12 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.12 (bear) to $1.87 (bull), the price of $0.8629 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

The Generation Essentials Group reported revenue of $54.3M in FY2025 versus $869M in FY2019, a compound −37.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $54.3M · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1700 · Net margin −14.3% · Return on equity −1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin −151% · Revenue (TTM) $98.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 73%, TGE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.12 Fair Value $1.50 Bull $1.87
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $10.52 $14.02 $17.53 55
NCAV (Graham) $8.25 $11.05 $16.50 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $10.52 $14.02 $17.53 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.25 $11.05 $16.50 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
40.6% (2019) → −24.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 658 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +73% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −151% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −75% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 4.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 54
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 81

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $117.21 $52.29 −55%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $97.21 $29.25 −70%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.36 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $179.95 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $502.79 $579.51 +15%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $158.23 $312.27 +97%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.57 $209.14 +100%

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$1.50 +42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Generation Essentials Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGE

Frequently asked questions

Is The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.50 versus a price of $0.8629, about +73% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TGE?
Our model-based fair value for The Generation Essentials Group is $1.50 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8629.
What is the quality score of TGE?
The Generation Essentials Group has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.50 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.12, optimistic scenario $1.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Generation Essentials Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.50, about +73% upside versus a price of $0.8629 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.12, optimistic scenario $1.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The Generation Essentials Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $98.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The Generation Essentials Group would have to grow free cash flow by +19.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 6 years revenue grew -37.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TGE use?
Our models discount The Generation Essentials Group at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The Generation Essentials Group that is +19.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) delivered so far?
Over the past 6 years revenue at The Generation Essentials Group grew -37.0 % a year. The price currently implies +19.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The Generation Essentials Group (+19.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.97 %: that much free cash flow The Generation Essentials Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Generation Essentials Group it is $1.50 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.8629. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Generation Essentials Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TGE trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.8629, fair value $1.50, a gap of about +73% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TGE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8629); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.50). For The Generation Essentials Group the two are $0.6331 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Generation Essentials Group worth?
The market values The Generation Essentials Group at about $54.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.8629; our models calculate a fair value of $1.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TGE?
Our models span a range for The Generation Essentials Group: cautious scenario $1.12, base $1.50, optimistic $1.87 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.8629). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Generation Essentials Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −1.6%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TGE from its 52-week high?
The Generation Essentials Group trades at $0.8629, about 68% below its 52-week high of $2.66 and 11% above the low of $0.7780 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Generation Essentials Group?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Generation Essentials Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.8629, calculated fair value $1.50 (+73%), Quality Score 47/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TGE calculated?
We run The Generation Essentials Group through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. The Generation Essentials Group currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.8629. Our model-based fair value is $1.50, about +73% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Generation Essentials Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.12). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of The Generation Essentials Group

How large is the market capitalisation of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The market capitalisation of The Generation Essentials Group is $54.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Generation Essentials Group is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
Earnings per share at The Generation Essentials Group are $−0.1700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The net margin of The Generation Essentials Group is −14.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Generation Essentials Group is −1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Generation Essentials Group is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
The operating margin of The Generation Essentials Group is −151% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
Revenue at The Generation Essentials Group is growing −74.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +43.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Generation Essentials Group (TGE)?
Earnings per share at The Generation Essentials Group are growing −95.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) carry?
The net debt of The Generation Essentials Group is $241M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 21.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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