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TryHard Holdings (THH) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $15.2M

TH TryHard Holdings logo TryHard Holdings THH · US
Price$0.2291
Fair Value$0.0400
Upside-82.5%
Quality38/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0300 – $0.0500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −20.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (11 months)

$55.05 $0.2000 Fair Value $0.0400 Aug 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range $0.2000 – $55.05 · fair‑value band $0.0300 – $0.0500 · the $0.2291 price screens above the $0.0400 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

TryHard Holdings (THH) currently trades at $0.2291, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 82.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, TryHard Holdings generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 21.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0300 (bear case) to $0.0500 (bull case); at $0.2291, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -83%, THH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $3.40 $4.86 $6.31 68
P/E Multiple $4.80 $6.40 $8.00 63
Residual Income $9.80 $8.89 $5.97 61
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $28.46 $35.33 $45.55 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.98 $3.62 $4.48 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.80 $6.40 $8.00 63
P/S Multiple $3.71 $4.95 $6.19 58
P/B Multiple $3.71 $4.95 $6.19 55
EV/EBITDA $26.41 $35.15 $43.90 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.79 $10.45 $15.59 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.80 $8.89 $5.97 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.40 $4.86 $6.31 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($35.33) versus Earnings-Based ($3.62). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.9%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow −$235M FY2025
Operating margin -6.3%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -86.2%
Net debt $2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TryHard Holdings Limited, a lifestyle entertainment company, provides a range of services across the entertainment and hospitality sectors. The company operates through Consultancy and Management, Event Curation, Sub-Leasing, and Restaurants segments.

Full company description

TryHard Holdings Limited, a lifestyle entertainment company, provides a range of services across the entertainment and hospitality sectors. The company operates through Consultancy and Management, Event Curation, Sub-Leasing, and Restaurants segments. It offers multi-genre event curation services, including conceptualizing an event or function; designing and creating a theme for a stage or event; and provision of public announcement sound systems, lighting, and disc jockey and video jockey technicians, as well as security, graphics/web design, music video production and enhancement, and ticketing services. The company also provides consultancy and management services, such as venue management, artist production, management, security, food and beverage, ticketing, accounting, visual design, VIP packages, photography, logo design, marketing, etc. In addition, it offers sub-leasing solutions to entertainment venue owners and operators; and operates a portfolio of restaurants that provides a range of cuisines and dining experiences. TryHard Holdings Limited was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TryHard Holdings reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2023, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $14.6M in FY2025, compounding −33.5%/yr from FY2023.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.4B
Latest YoY
−1.4%
Revenue +6.4%/yr
FY23 $3.0B
FY24 $3.5B
FY25 $3.4B
Net income −33.5%/yr
FY23 $33.0M
FY24 $137M
FY25 $14.6M

THH screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TryHard Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THH

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 100 · sector 27
PAST 10 · sector 33
HEALTH 0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TryHard Holdings (THH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0400 versus a price of $0.2291, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of THH?
Our model-based fair value for TryHard Holdings is $0.0400 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2291.
What is the quality score of THH?
TryHard Holdings has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TryHard Holdings (THH)?
TryHard Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THH?
The net profit margin of TryHard Holdings is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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