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Thaire Life Assurance Public Company (THREL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TH · Market cap 620M THB

TL Thaire Life Assurance Public Company THREL · BK
Price1.00 THB
Fair Value1.98 THB
Upside+98.0%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range 1.65 THB – 2.31 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.0600 THB to 1.98 THB (+3,200.0%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +1.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 98% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.65 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5.48 THB 0.9800 THB Fair Value 1.98 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.9800 THB – 5.48 THB · fair‑value band 1.65 THB – 2.31 THB · the 1.00 THB price screens below the 1.98 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Thaire Life Assurance Public Company (THREL) currently trades at 1.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.98 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 98.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thaire Life Assurance Public Company generated revenue of 2.4B THB at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue declined 21.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 22.6M THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.65 THB (bear case) to 2.31 THB (bull case); at 1.00 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 98%, THREL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.0700 THB 0.0800 THB 0.0900 THB 80
NCAV (Graham) 0.4000 THB 0.5400 THB 0.8100 THB 50
EV/Revenue 0.0700 THB 0.0700 THB 0.0800 THB 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0700 THB 0.0800 THB 0.0900 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0700 THB 0.0800 THB 0.0900 THB 39
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0700 THB 0.0800 THB 0.0900 THB 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 0.0700 THB 0.0700 THB 0.0800 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4000 THB 0.5400 THB 0.8100 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0700 THB 0.0800 THB 0.0900 THB 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.5400 THB) versus Multiples (0.0700 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.4B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.2%
Net margin -2.7%
Return on equity -14.2%
Free cash flow 1.2M THB FY2025
Operating margin -19.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.1000 THB
EPS growth (YoY) -57.0%
Net cash 22.6M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thaire Life Assurance Public Company Limited provides life reinsurance services to various life insurance companies in Thailand. The company operates in two segments, Conventional Products and Non-Conventional Products.

Full company description

Thaire Life Assurance Public Company Limited provides life reinsurance services to various life insurance companies in Thailand. The company operates in two segments, Conventional Products and Non-Conventional Products. The company offers reinsurance capacity and consultancy; medical underwriting and claim management; research and analytics, marketing planning, product design and development, and new distribution channel development to medical underwriting consultant services; and technical training for medical and claim underwriting, actuarial and operational management, and big data analytics. Thaire Life Assurance Public Company Limited was founded in 2000 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thaire Life Assurance Public Company reported revenue of 2.6B THB in FY2025 versus 2.8B THB in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −76.6M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.6B THB
Latest YoY
−42.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 2.8B THB
FY22 3.0B THB
FY23 3.4B THB
FY24 4.5B THB
FY25 2.6B THB
Net income
FY21 98.5M THB
FY22 153M THB
FY23 62.1M THB
FY24 −84.6M THB
FY25 −76.6M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thaire Life Assurance Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THREL

Peer Group

Insurance - Reinsurance · 29 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +98% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -21% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Reinsurance median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 15.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 85
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 55
HEALTH 100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 87

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Reinsurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
1MUV2 1MUV2 €513.20 €526.73 +3%
Swiss Re AG SREN CHF 137.20 CHF 158.42 +15%
Hannover Rück SE HNR1 €250.00 €216.20 -14%
Reinsurance Group RGA $246.08 $261.04 +6%
Everest Group EG $363.67 $507.47 +40%
RenaissanceRe Holdings RNR $317.45 $563.91 +78%
SCOR SE SDRC €34.14 €66.75 +96%
General Insurance Corporation GICRE ₹355.85 ₹594.47 +67%
China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation 1508 HK$1.22 HK$2.43 +100%
Hamilton Insurance Group HG $35.27 $54.04 +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thaire Life Assurance Public Company (THREL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.98 THB versus a price of 1.00 THB, about +98% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THREL?
Our model-based fair value for Thaire Life Assurance Public Company is 1.98 THB (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.00 THB.
What is the quality score of THREL?
Thaire Life Assurance Public Company has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thaire Life Assurance Public Company (THREL)?
Thaire Life Assurance Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THREL?
The net profit margin of Thaire Life Assurance Public Company is about -2.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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