Tiny Ltd. (TINY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Tiny Ltd. C$9.59, price C$5.97, upside +60.6%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$4.65 – C$122.24 · fair‑value band C$5.63 – C$16.63 · the C$5.97 price screens below the C$9.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Tiny Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in buyouts. It prefers to invest in technology sectors. The firm prefers to invest globally but, have the most experience in the North American region.
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Tiny Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in buyouts. It prefers to invest in technology sectors. The firm prefers to invest globally but, have the most experience in the North American region. It prefers to invest in profitable businesses profit ranging between $0.5 million and $50 million and it's deal size ranges between $1 million and $300 million. It prefers to take majority and minority investment in its portfolio companies. Tiny Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Tiny Ltd. (TINY) currently trades at C$5.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$9.59, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of C$20.70 per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the C$5.97 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$3.89, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$5.63 (bear) to C$16.63 (bull), the price of C$5.97 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Tiny Ltd. reported revenue of C$204M in FY2025 versus C$48.5M in FY2022, a compound +61.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$33.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$202M (≈ $143M) · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) C$−1.44 · Net margin −16.6% · Return on equity −20.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.9% · Operating margin 0.7% · Revenue (TTM) C$207M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 61%, TINY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$5.63Fair Value C$9.59Bull C$16.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+61.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−40.5% (2022) → −20.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 660 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+60.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−19.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.69× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.84× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tiny Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TINY
Frequently asked questions
Is Tiny Ltd. (TINY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$9.59 versus a price of C$5.97, about +61% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TINY?
Our model-based fair value for Tiny Ltd. is C$9.59 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$5.97.
What is the quality score of TINY?
Tiny Ltd. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$9.59 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$5.63, optimistic scenario C$16.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tiny Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$9.59, about +61% upside versus a price of C$5.97 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$5.63, optimistic scenario C$16.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
Tiny Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$207M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tiny Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by -0.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +61.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TINY use?
Our models discount Tiny Ltd. at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tiny Ltd. that is -0.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tiny Ltd. (TINY) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Tiny Ltd. grew +61.4 % a year. The price currently implies -0.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tiny Ltd. (TINY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tiny Ltd. (-0.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.09 %: that much free cash flow Tiny Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tiny Ltd. it is C$9.59 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$5.97. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tiny Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, TINY trades below its calculated fair value: price C$5.97, fair value C$9.59, a gap of about +61% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TINY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$5.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$9.59). For Tiny Ltd. the two are C$3.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tiny Ltd. worth?
The market values Tiny Ltd. at about C$202M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$5.97; our models calculate a fair value of C$9.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TINY?
Our models span a range for Tiny Ltd.: cautious scenario C$5.63, base C$9.59, optimistic C$16.63 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$5.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tiny Ltd. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −20.3%, debt of 0.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TINY from its 52-week high?
Tiny Ltd. trades at C$5.97, about 42% below its 52-week high of C$10.27 and 28% above the low of C$4.65 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$9.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tiny Ltd.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tiny Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$5.97, calculated fair value C$9.59 (+61%), Quality Score 30/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TINY calculated?
We run Tiny Ltd. through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$9.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Tiny Ltd. currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$5.97. Our model-based fair value is C$9.59, about +61% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tiny Ltd. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (C$5.63 to C$16.63). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Tiny Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
The market capitalisation of Tiny Ltd. is C$202M (≈ $143M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tiny Ltd. is 0.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
Earnings per share at Tiny Ltd. are C$−1.44. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
The net margin of Tiny Ltd. is −16.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tiny Ltd. is −20.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tiny Ltd. is −6.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
The operating margin of Tiny Ltd. is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tiny Ltd. (TINY)?
Revenue at Tiny Ltd. is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +61.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Tiny Ltd. (TINY) carry?
The net debt of Tiny Ltd. is C$97.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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