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Tiny Ltd (TINY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$202M

TL Tiny Ltd TINY · TO
PriceC$6.21
Fair ValueC$10.59
Upside+70.6%
Quality30/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -19.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range C$6.02 – C$10.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$128.00 C$4.65 Fair Value C$10.59 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$4.65 – C$128.00 · fair‑value band C$6.02 – C$10.59 · the C$6.21 price screens below the C$10.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tiny Ltd (TINY) currently trades at C$6.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.59, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tiny Ltd generated revenue of C$207M at a net margin of -19.7%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -20.3%. Net debt stands at C$97.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$6.02 (bear case) to C$10.59 (bull case); at C$6.21, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 71%, TINY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$9.00 C$15.83 C$27.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$8.86 C$18.85 C$38.41 74
NCAV (Graham) C$2.90 C$3.89 C$5.81 50
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings C$1.98 C$6.29 31
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$2.90 C$3.89 C$5.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$9.00 C$15.83 C$27.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$8.86 C$18.85 C$38.41 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (C$15.83) versus DCF Models (C$1.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$207M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1%
Net margin -19.7%
Return on equity -20.3%
Free cash flow C$31.8M FY2025
Operating margin 0.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) C$-1.44
Net debt C$97.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tiny Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in buyouts. It prefers to invest in technology sectors. The firm prefers to invest globally but, have the most experience in the North American region.

Full company description

Tiny Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in buyouts. It prefers to invest in technology sectors. The firm prefers to invest globally but, have the most experience in the North American region. It prefers to invest in profitable businesses profit ranging between $0.5 million and $50 million and it's deal size ranges between $1 million and $300 million. It prefers to take majority and minority investment in its portfolio companies. Tiny Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tiny Ltd reported revenue of C$204M in FY2025 versus C$48.5M in FY2022, a compound +61.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$33.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$204M
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+61.4%
Revenue +61.4%/yr
FY22 C$48.5M
FY23 C$186M
FY24 C$194M
FY25 C$204M
Net income
FY22 −C$22.6M
FY23 C$13.9M
FY24 −C$48.7M
FY25 −C$33.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tiny Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TINY

Peer Group

Asset Management · 690 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.69× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 19.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 38
FUTURE 36 · sector 14
PAST 0 · sector 25
HEALTH 65 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 68

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,161 $465.75 -60%
Blackstone Inc BX $146.41 $52.88 -64%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.90 kr 835.80 +100%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 544.00 kr 375.93 -31%
ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,579 ₹11,257 -3%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tiny Ltd (TINY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$10.59 versus a price of C$6.21, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TINY?
Our model-based fair value for Tiny Ltd is C$10.59 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$6.21.
What is the quality score of TINY?
Tiny Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tiny Ltd (TINY)?
Tiny Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$207M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TINY?
The net profit margin of Tiny Ltd is about -19.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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