Telsys (TLSY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Telsys ILS 187, price ILS 375, upside -50.2%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Telsys for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 77.59 ILA – 386.50 ILA · fair‑value band 143.66 ILA – 245.32 ILA · the 375.00 ILA price screens above the 186.75 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Follow Telsys in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Telsys is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Telsys Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of components, electronic equipment, and open tools in Israel. The company offers embedded and sensors, wireless and modules, electro mechanics, antenas, clock and passive, and power conversion.
Show more
Telsys Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of components, electronic equipment, and open tools in Israel. The company offers embedded and sensors, wireless and modules, electro mechanics, antenas, clock and passive, and power conversion. It also provides semiconductors, subsystems, passives, connectors, microwaves, telecom/datacom products, and others. In addition, the company is involved in development, production, and marketing of computer modules. Telsys Ltd. was incorporated in 1963 and is based in Petah Tikva, Israel.
Stock analysis
Telsys (TLSY) currently trades at 375.00 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 186.75 ILA, 50.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 257.17 ILA per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 375.00 ILA price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 61.80 ILA, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 143.66 ILA (bear) to 245.32 ILA (bull), the price of 375.00 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Telsys reported revenue of $136M in FY2025 versus $266M in FY2021, a compound −15.4%/yr. Reported net income was $36.5M in FY2025, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.4B ILA · P/E ratio 28.8 · P/S ratio 7.70 · EPS (TTM) 13.03 ILA · Net margin 26.8% · Return on equity 52.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 30.2% · Operating margin 27.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −50%, TLSY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 143.66 ILAFair Value 186.75 ILABull 245.32 ILA
Price 375.00 ILA · Upside -50.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (9.89 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−65.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.5% vs 7.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 30%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+40.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronics & Computer Distribution · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−50.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)52.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets18.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)26.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)27.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth49.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B14.91× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)7.34× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF24.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA24.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 76
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telsys Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLSY
Frequently asked questions
Is Telsys (TLSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 186.75 ILA versus a price of 375.00 ILA, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TLSY?
Our model-based fair value for Telsys is 186.75 ILA (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 375.00 ILA.
What is the quality score of TLSY?
Telsys has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Telsys (TLSY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 186.75 ILA (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 143.66 ILA, optimistic scenario 245.32 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Telsys stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 186.75 ILA, about −50% upside versus a price of 375.00 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 143.66 ILA, optimistic scenario 245.32 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Telsys (TLSY)?
Telsys reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 152M ILS (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Telsys (TLSY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Telsys would have to grow free cash flow by +40.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -15.9 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TLSY use?
Our models discount Telsys at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Telsys that is +40.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Telsys (TLSY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Telsys grew -15.9 % a year. The price currently implies +40.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Telsys (TLSY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Telsys (+40.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Telsys (TLSY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.33 %: that much free cash flow Telsys produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Telsys (TLSY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Telsys it is 186.75 ILA per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 375.00 ILA. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Telsys stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TLSY trades above its calculated fair value: price 375.00 ILA, fair value 186.75 ILA, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TLSY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (375.00 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (186.75 ILA). For Telsys the two are 188.25 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Telsys worth?
The market values Telsys at about 3.4B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 375.00 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 186.75 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TLSY?
Our models span a range for Telsys: cautious scenario 143.66 ILA, base 186.75 ILA, optimistic 245.32 ILA per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 375.00 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TLSY?
Telsys trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.8 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 186.75 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 14.9, P/S 7.3, EV/EBITDA 24.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Telsys (TLSY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Telsys (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 52.2%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TLSY from its 52-week high?
Telsys trades at 375.00 ILA, about 3% below its 52-week high of 386.50 ILA and 115% above the low of 174.50 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 186.75 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Telsys?
From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Unisplendour Corporation, Rexel S.A, Arrow Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Telsys stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 375.00 ILA, calculated fair value 186.75 ILA (−50%), Quality Score 77/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TLSY calculated?
We run Telsys through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 186.75 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Telsys itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Telsys (TLSY)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 375.00 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 186.75 ILA, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Telsys right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (245.32 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Where does the earnings growth of Telsys (TLSY) come from?
Earnings per share at Telsys grew +19.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin +24.9 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Telsys
How large is the market capitalisation of Telsys (TLSY)?
The market capitalisation of Telsys is 3.4B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Telsys (TLSY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Telsys is 7.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Telsys (TLSY)?
Earnings per share at Telsys are 13.03 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Telsys (TLSY)?
The net margin of Telsys is 26.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Telsys (TLSY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Telsys is 52.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Telsys (TLSY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Telsys is 30.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Telsys (TLSY)?
The operating margin of Telsys is 27.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Telsys (TLSY)?
Revenue at Telsys is growing +49.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Telsys (TLSY)?
Earnings per share at Telsys are growing +37.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Telsys (TLSY) hold?
Telsys holds more cash than debt, 19.9M ILA net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Telsys in the live analysis
One click puts Telsys on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
