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TMP Group (TMP) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IT · Market cap €8.2M

TG TMP Group TMP · MI
Price€5.94
Fair Value€2.17
Upside-63.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range €1.52 – €2.82

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +14.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€6.81 €1.95 Fair Value €2.17 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range €1.95 – €6.81 · fair‑value band €1.52 – €2.82 · the €5.94 price screens above the €2.17 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

TMP Group (TMP) currently trades at €5.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.17 — implying the stock looks roughly 63.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, TMP Group generated revenue of €6.1M at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue declined 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 44.5. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €6.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.3%
Net margin 3.0%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow −€511K FY2025
P/E ratio 44.5
More key figures
Operating margin 4.0%
EPS (TTM) €0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) -89.9%
Net debt €403K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

TMP Group S.p.A. engages in the digital marketing and communication activities through multi-channel data driven strategies in Italy, the European Union, and non-European Union countries. The company involved in the design, strategy, content production, performance and influencer marketing activities. It also produces video entertainment to commercials and music videos. It serves Media and Live Communication Entertainment sector. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Milan, Italy.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TMP Group reported revenue of €5.6M in FY2025 versus €4.5M in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €184K in FY2025, compounding −31.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 €4.5M
FY22 €6.4M
FY23 €5.6M
FY24 €5.0M
FY25 €5.6M
Net income −31.8%/yr
FY21 €851K
FY22 €588K
FY23 −€1.2M
FY24 €49.6K
FY25 €184K

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Frequently asked questions

Is TMP Group (TMP) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.17 versus a price of €5.94 — about −63% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TMP?
Our 21-model fair value for TMP Group is €2.17 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €5.94.
What is the quality score of TMP?
TMP Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of TMP Group (TMP)?
TMP Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.1M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TMP?
The net profit margin of TMP Group is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.