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Tenaris S.A (TNRSF) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $28.7B

TS Tenaris S.A logo Tenaris S.A TNRSF · US
Price$26.95
Fair Value$23.75
Upside-11.9%
Quality70/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.13% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $17.84 – $30.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $17.84 (bear) to $30.88 (bull), base $23.75. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.45 $3.93 Fair Value $23.75 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.93 – $28.45 · fair‑value band $17.84 – $30.88 · the $26.95 price screens above the $23.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tenaris S.A (TNRSF) currently trades at $26.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.75, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tenaris S.A generated revenue of $12.2B at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $124M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.84 (bear case) to $30.88 (bull case); at $26.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -12%, TNRSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $23.85 $33.45 $46.65 80
Residual Income $15.30 $18.02 $33.59 76
Rev-Margin DCF $14.97 $20.99 $27.62 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $23.22 $33.63 $48.61 38
Owner Earnings $21.98 $31.81 $45.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.97 $20.65 $27.48 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $16.31 $23.03 $30.44 41
5Y P/E Exit $20.47 $30.50 $40.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit $17.54 $23.22 $30.03 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.68 $24.84 $32.20 37
10Y P/E Exit $21.29 $29.90 $39.58 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.55 $33.23 $43.01 54
PEG = 1.0 $5.97 $8.53 $11.08 46
EPV $18.15 $21.08 $23.65 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.52 $15.56 $24.89 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.52 $12.81 $17.49 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.92 $27.89 $34.86 63
P/S Multiple $11.11 $14.82 $18.52 58
P/B Multiple $22.20 $29.59 $36.99 55
EV/EBIT $18.29 $24.19 $30.10 53
EV/EBITDA $14.06 $18.55 $23.05 54
EV/Revenue $10.94 $15.39 $19.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.22 $11.02 $16.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $23.85 $33.45 $46.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.97 $20.99 $27.62 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.30 $18.02 $33.59 76
ROIC Compounder $18.44 $22.62 $27.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.63 $23.75 $30.88 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($24.84) versus Asset-Based ($11.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 16.2%
Return on equity 11.6%
Free cash flow $2.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.2
More key figures
Operating margin 19.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.90
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.7%
Net cash $124M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel casings to sustain the walls of oil and gas wells during and after drilling; steel tubing for conducting crude oil and natural gas to the surface after drilling has been completed; steel line pipes to transport crude oil and natural gas from wells to refineries, storage tanks, and loading and distribution centers; and mechanical and structural pipes for the transportation of other forms of gas and liquids under high pressure. The company also offers cold-drawn pipes for use in boilers, superheaters, condensers, heat exchangers, automobile production, and other industrial applications; premium joints and couplings for use in high temperature or high pressure environments under the TenarisHydril brand name; coiled tubing is used for oil and gas drilling and well workovers and for subsea pipelines; sucker rods used in oil extraction activities, tubes used for plumbing and construction applications, and oilfield / hydraulic fracturing services; pipe coating services; and automotive components. In addition, it engages in the sale of energy and raw materials; development, management, and licensing of intellectual property; procurement and trading services; and financial operations, as well as markets steel products. Further, the company manufactures and markets connections; and welded and seamless steel pipes. Tenaris S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Tenaris S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.àr.l.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tenaris S.A reported revenue of $12.5B in FY2025 versus $6.5B in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2025, compounding +16.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.5B
Latest YoY
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.4%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Revenue +17.6%/yr
FY21 $6.5B
FY22 $11.8B
FY23 $14.9B
FY24 $12.5B
FY25 $12.5B
Net income +16.3%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $2.0B

TNRSF screens 12% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tenaris S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TNRSF

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 192 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 17 · sector 0
FUTURE 31 · sector 1
PAST 47 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 31

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 488.45 MXN -42%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $64.28 $32.40 -50%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $75.27 $27.43 -64%
Halliburton Company HAL $33.29 $21.50 -35%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥144.58 ¥34.17 -76%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.56 €2.72 -40%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 334.40 kr 224.63 -33%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.02 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €202.00 €95.01 -53%
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc KGS $62.06 $13.56 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tenaris S.A (TNRSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.75 versus a price of $26.95, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TNRSF?
Our model-based fair value for Tenaris S.A is $23.75 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.95.
What is the quality score of TNRSF?
Tenaris S.A has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tenaris S.A (TNRSF)?
Tenaris S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TNRSF?
The net profit margin of Tenaris S.A is about 16.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tenaris S.A pay a dividend?
Tenaris S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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