Triad Group (TRD) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · GB · Market cap 62.8M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +11.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£1.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.6693 – £3.60 · fair‑value band £1.18 – £1.86 · the £3.60 price screens above the £1.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Triad Group (TRD) currently trades at £3.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.54, implying the stock looks roughly 57.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Triad Group generated revenue of £23.2M at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £3.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.18 (bear case) to £1.86 (bull case); at £3.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -57%, TRD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£1.66) versus Asset-Based (£0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Triad Group plc provides information technology consultancy services to the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors in the United Kingdom. The company offers consulting, early strategy, programme management, project delivery, software delivery, and support activities. It also provides change leadership, software development, and business insights.
Full company description
Triad Group plc provides information technology consultancy services to the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors in the United Kingdom. The company offers consulting, early strategy, programme management, project delivery, software delivery, and support activities. It also provides change leadership, software development, and business insights. Triad Group Plc was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Godalming, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Triad Group reported revenue of £24.8M in FY2026 versus £17.0M in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was £1.7M in FY2026, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2022.
TRD screens 57% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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