PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock IDR 81, price IDR 152, that is 46.4% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range 140.00 IDR – 531.93 IDR · fair‑value band 60.79 IDR – 123.55 IDR · the 152.00 IDR price screens above the 81.46 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk production of processed wheat flour products in Indonesia. It operates through Flour and grain processing and Others. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Sunterra Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) currently trades at 152.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 81.46 IDR, 46% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 178.25 IDR per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the 152.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 20.59 IDR, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 60.79 IDR (bear) to 123.55 IDR (bull), the price of 152.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 3.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 11.3B IDR in FY2025, compounding −19.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.2T IDR (≈ $67.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 112.6 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) 1.35 IDR · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −46%, TRGU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear60.79 IDRFair Value 81.46 IDRBull123.55 IDR
Price 152.00 IDR · Downside -46.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.16 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+18.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 4%
Compare PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−46.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.4% · Below median
Return on assets0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)6.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)112.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.31× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA6.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)58· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)83· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRGU
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 81.46 IDR versus a price of 152.00 IDR, about 46% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRGU?
Our model-based fair value for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 81.46 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 152.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TRGU?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 81.46 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 60.79 IDR, optimistic scenario 123.55 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 81.46 IDR, about 46% lower versus a price of 152.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 60.79 IDR, optimistic scenario 123.55 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk it is 81.46 IDR per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 152.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, TRGU trades above its calculated fair value: price 152.00 IDR, fair value 81.46 IDR, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRGU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (152.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (81.46 IDR). For PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk the two are 70.54 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk worth?
The market values PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk at about 1.2T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 152.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 81.46 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRGU?
Our models span a range for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk: cautious scenario 60.79 IDR, base 81.46 IDR, optimistic 123.55 IDR per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 152.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TRGU?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 112.6 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 81.46 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRGU from its 52-week high?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk trades at 152.00 IDR, about 25% below its 52-week high of 204.00 IDR and 9% above the low of 140.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 81.46 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 152.00 IDR, calculated fair value 81.46 IDR (−46%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRGU calculated?
We run PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 81.46 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 152.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 81.46 IDR, about 46% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (123.55 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (60.79 IDR to 123.55 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The market capitalisation of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 1.2T IDR (≈ $67.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Earnings per share at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk are 1.35 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 112.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The net margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The operating margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Revenue at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Earnings per share at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk are growing +73.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) generate?
The free cash flow of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is −89.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) carry?
The net debt of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 1.8T IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 9, 2026