PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk IDR 81, price IDR 174, upside -53.2%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range 152.00 IDR – 531.93 IDR · fair‑value band 60.79 IDR – 109.90 IDR · the 174.00 IDR price screens above the 81.46 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk production of processed wheat flour products in Indonesia. It operates through Flour and grain processing and Others. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Sunterra Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) currently trades at 174.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 81.46 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 113.6% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 258.98 IDR per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the 174.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 9.92 IDR, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 60.79 IDR (bear) to 109.90 IDR (bull), the price of 174.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 3.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 11.3B IDR in FY2025, compounding −19.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.4T IDR (≈ $77.3M) · P/E ratio 129.9 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) 1.34 IDR · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% · Operating margin 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −53%, TRGU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 60.79 IDRFair Value 81.46 IDRBull 109.90 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9839 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+18.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 4%
Compare PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−53% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)129.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.41× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.35× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)58· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)83· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRGU
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 81.46 IDR versus a price of 174.00 IDR, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRGU?
Our model-based fair value for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 81.46 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 174.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TRGU?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 81.46 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 60.79 IDR, optimistic scenario 109.90 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 81.46 IDR, about −53% upside versus a price of 174.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 60.79 IDR, optimistic scenario 109.90 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk it is 81.46 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 174.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TRGU trades above its calculated fair value: price 174.00 IDR, fair value 81.46 IDR, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRGU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (174.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (81.46 IDR). For PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk the two are 92.54 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk worth?
The market values PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk at about 1.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 174.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 81.46 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRGU?
Our models span a range for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk: cautious scenario 60.79 IDR, base 81.46 IDR, optimistic 109.90 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 174.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TRGU?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 129.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 81.46 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRGU from its 52-week high?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk trades at 174.00 IDR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 204.00 IDR and 9% above the low of 160.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 81.46 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 174.00 IDR, calculated fair value 81.46 IDR (−53%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRGU calculated?
We run PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 81.46 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 174.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 81.46 IDR, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (109.90 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (60.79 IDR to 109.90 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The market capitalisation of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 1.4T IDR (≈ $77.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 0.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Earnings per share at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk are 1.34 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 129.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The net margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
The operating margin of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Revenue at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU)?
Earnings per share at PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk are growing +73.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) generate?
The free cash flow of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is −89.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (TRGU) carry?
The net debt of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is 1.8T IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk in the live analysis
One click puts PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
