TDK Corporation (TTDKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of TDK Corporation $15.89, price $19.07, upside -16.7%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.46 – $27.01 · fair‑value band $11.08 – $22.87 · the $19.07 price screens above the $15.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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TDK Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of electronic components in Japan, Europe, China, Asia, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through Passive Components, Sensor Application Products, Magnetic Application Products, Energy Application Products, and Others segments.
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TDK Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of electronic components in Japan, Europe, China, Asia, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through Passive Components, Sensor Application Products, Magnetic Application Products, Energy Application Products, and Others segments. The Passive Components segment offers ceramic capacitors, aluminum electrolytic capacitors, film capacitors, high-frequency components, piezoelectric material products, and circuit protection components, as well as inductive devices, including ferrite cores, coils, and transformers. The Sensor Application Products segment provides temperature and pressure, magnetic, and MEMS sensors. The Magnetic Application Products segment offers hard disk drives(HDD) heads, HDD suspension assemblies, and magnets. The Energy Application Products segment provides energy devices comprising rechargeable batteries and power supplies. The Other segment offers mechatronics production equipment and camera module micro actuators for smartphones and other products. It also engages in the provision of insurance and real estate agency services; research and development of semiconductor products; and development, manufacture, and sale of rechargeable battery cells. Its products are used in information and communication technology, automotive, micromobility, industrial and energy, consumer electronics/home appliances, AI eco system, and medical and healthcare applications. The company was formerly known as Tokyo Denki Kagaku Kogyo K.K. and changed its name to TDK Corporation in 1983. TDK Corporation was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
TDK Corporation (TTDKF) currently trades at $19.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.89, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $15.89 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $19.07 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.30, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $11.08 (bear) to $22.87 (bull), the price of $19.07 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
TDK Corporation reported revenue of ¥2.5T in FY2026 versus ¥1.9T in FY2022, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥197B in FY2026, compounding +10.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $50.0B · P/E ratio 29.8 · P/S ratio 2.33 · EPS (TTM) $0.6400 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −17%, TTDKF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.08Fair Value $15.89Bull $22.87
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7% vs −5%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.6% a year for the price and +4.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 656 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TDK Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTDKF
Frequently asked questions
Is TDK Corporation (TTDKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.89 versus a price of $19.07, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTDKF?
Our model-based fair value for TDK Corporation is $15.89 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.07.
What is the quality score of TTDKF?
TDK Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.89 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.08, optimistic scenario $22.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TDK Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.89, about −17% upside versus a price of $19.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.08, optimistic scenario $22.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
TDK Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.5T (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does TDK Corporation pay a dividend?
TDK Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TDK Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TTDKF use?
Our models discount TDK Corporation at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TDK Corporation that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TDK Corporation (TTDKF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TDK Corporation grew +11.3 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TDK Corporation (TTDKF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TDK Corporation (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.69 %: that much free cash flow TDK Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TDK Corporation it is $15.89 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $19.07. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TDK Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TTDKF trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.07, fair value $15.89, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTDKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.89). For TDK Corporation the two are $3.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TDK Corporation worth?
The market values TDK Corporation at about $50.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $19.07; our models calculate a fair value of $15.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTDKF?
Our models span a range for TDK Corporation: cautious scenario $11.08, base $15.89, optimistic $22.87 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $19.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TTDKF?
TDK Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $15.89 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.3, P/B 3.6, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
What is the PEG ratio of TTDKF?
The PEG ratio of TDK Corporation is 2.30 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for TDK Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTDKF from its 52-week high?
TDK Corporation trades at $19.07, about 29% below its 52-week high of $27.01 and 64% above the low of $11.62 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TDK Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TDK Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $19.07, calculated fair value $15.89 (−17%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTDKF calculated?
We run TDK Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $15.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. TDK Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $19.07. Our model-based fair value is $15.89, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TDK Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($11.08 to $22.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of TDK Corporation (TTDKF) come from?
Earnings per share at TDK Corporation grew −7.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.5 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TDK Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The market capitalisation of TDK Corporation is $50.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TDK Corporation is 2.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
Earnings per share at TDK Corporation are $0.6400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The dividend yield of TDK Corporation is 1.0% (payout 28.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The net margin of TDK Corporation is 7.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TDK Corporation is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TDK Corporation is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
The operating margin of TDK Corporation is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
Revenue at TDK Corporation is growing +21.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TDK Corporation (TTDKF)?
Earnings per share at TDK Corporation are growing +130% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does TDK Corporation (TTDKF) hold?
TDK Corporation holds more cash than debt, ¥228B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026