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TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of TaoWeave Inc. $1.73, price $1.59, upside +8.6%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US6744343038

TI TaoWeave Inc. logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

TaoWeave Inc.

TWAV · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $1.73 · Fairly valued (+9%)
!Quality 19/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -158.1% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2,376 $0.6700 Fair Value $1.73 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6700 – $2,376 · fair‑value band $1.14 – $2.16 · the $1.59 price screens below the $1.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

TaoWeave, Inc. is a digital asset treasury company. The company focuses on Bittensor (TAO), a decentralized, open-source protocol that creates a marketplace for machine intelligence. It also enables AI models to be trained, shared, and monetized in a permissionless environment.

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TaoWeave, Inc. is a digital asset treasury company. The company focuses on Bittensor (TAO), a decentralized, open-source protocol that creates a marketplace for machine intelligence. It also enables AI models to be trained, shared, and monetized in a permissionless environment. In addition, it provides TAO a native token of the Bittensor network, used for staking, governance, and compensating AI model contributors. The company was formerly known as Oblong, Inc. and changed its name to TaoWeave, Inc. in December 2025. TaoWeave, Inc. is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Stock analysis

TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV) currently trades at $1.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.73, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.14 (bear) to $2.16 (bull), the price of $1.59 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

TaoWeave Inc. reported revenue of $2.4M in FY2025 versus $7.7M in FY2021, a compound −25.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.6M · P/S ratio 1.84 · EPS (TTM) $−1.74 · Net margin −158% · Return on equity −66.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −122% · Operating margin −79.1% · Revenue (TTM) $2.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 137% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 9%, TWAV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.14 Fair Value $1.73 Bull $2.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.02 $1.36 $2.03 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.02 $1.36 $2.03 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 11
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −20.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−58.1% (2020) → −121.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare TaoWeave Inc. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −24% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −158% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −79% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.84× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)45 · sector 54
FUTURE (revenue growth)69 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 81

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $124.01 $52.88 −57%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $97.21 $29.25 −70%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.36 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $179.95 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $502.79 $579.51 +15%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $158.23 $312.27 +97%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.57 $209.14 +100%

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$1.73 +8%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TaoWeave Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TWAV

Frequently asked questions

Is TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.73 versus a price of $1.59, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TWAV?
Our model-based fair value for TaoWeave Inc. is $1.73 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.59.
What is the quality score of TWAV?
TaoWeave Inc. has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.73 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.14, optimistic scenario $2.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TaoWeave Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.73, about +9% upside versus a price of $1.59 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.14, optimistic scenario $2.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
TaoWeave Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TaoWeave Inc. it is $1.73 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.59. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TaoWeave Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TWAV trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.59, fair value $1.73, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TWAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.73). For TaoWeave Inc. the two are $0.1360 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TaoWeave Inc. worth?
The market values TaoWeave Inc. at about $4.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.59; our models calculate a fair value of $1.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TWAV?
Our models span a range for TaoWeave Inc.: cautious scenario $1.14, base $1.73, optimistic $2.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for TaoWeave Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −66.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TWAV from its 52-week high?
TaoWeave Inc. trades at $1.59, about 48% below its 52-week high of $3.05 and 137% above the low of $0.6700 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TaoWeave Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TaoWeave Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.59, calculated fair value $1.73 (+9%), Quality Score 19/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TWAV calculated?
We run TaoWeave Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TaoWeave Inc. currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.59. Our model-based fair value is $1.73, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TaoWeave Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($1.14 to $2.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of TaoWeave Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
The market capitalisation of TaoWeave Inc. is $4.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TaoWeave Inc. is 1.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
Earnings per share at TaoWeave Inc. are $−1.74. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
The net margin of TaoWeave Inc. is −158% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TaoWeave Inc. is −66.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TaoWeave Inc. is −122% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
The operating margin of TaoWeave Inc. is −79.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV)?
Revenue at TaoWeave Inc. is growing +13.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV) generate?
The free cash flow of TaoWeave Inc. is −$3.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TaoWeave Inc. (TWAV) hold?
TaoWeave Inc. holds more cash than debt, $2.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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