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Tigo Energy, Inc (TYGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $198M

TE Tigo Energy, Inc logo Tigo Energy, Inc TYGO · US
Price$1.22
Fair Value$1.72
Upside+41.0%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.22 – $2.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $1.09 to $1.72 (+57.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −34.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 41% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.22 to $2.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$26.26 $0.6700 Fair Value $1.72 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range $0.6700 – $26.26 · fair‑value band $1.22 – $2.22 · the $1.22 price screens below the $1.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Tigo Energy, Inc (TYGO) currently trades at $1.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.72, implying the stock looks roughly 41.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tigo Energy, Inc generated revenue of $110M at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 33.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.22 (bear case) to $2.22 (bull case); at $1.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 41%, TYGO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.9800 $1.85 $3.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.04 $2.13 $4.43 74
NCAV (Graham) $0.1800 $0.2400 $0.3600 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.08 $1.68 $3.45 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.9000 $1.81 $3.71 39
10Y Revenue Exit $0.9300 $2.34 $3.18 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.7300 $1.22 $1.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1800 $0.2400 $0.3600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.9800 $1.85 $3.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.04 $2.13 $4.43 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($1.85) versus Asset-Based ($0.2400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $110M
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.7%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 15.1%
Free cash flow $9.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 43.5
More key figures
Operating margin -9.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.0600
Net cash $5.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 1
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tigo Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar and energy storage solutions worldwide. It offers module level power electronics (MLPEs) to maximize the energy output of individual solar modules for utility, commercial, and residential solar arrays.

Full company description

Tigo Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solar and energy storage solutions worldwide. It offers module level power electronics (MLPEs) to maximize the energy output of individual solar modules for utility, commercial, and residential solar arrays. The company also provides GO Energy Storage Systems that provide solar energy storage management capabilities, and energy resilience in the event of a grid outage and optimizes energy consumption based on rate plans for home energy needs; and Energy Intelligence (EI) platform, which provides monitoring and energy demand forecasting capabilities, as well as Predict+, an energy consumption and demand forecasting software. In addition, it offers GO Battery modular, scalable energy storage system; GO Inverter, which offers energy conversion for home consumption or export to the grid; GO Link/Automatic Transfer Switch (ATS), a component for battery backup of on-grid systems; Tigo Predict+ for energy demand forecasting; and GO Electric Vehicle (EV) Charger to reduce transportation costs. Further, it provides monitoring services. The company offers its products through distributors and solar installers. Tigo Energy, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tigo Energy, Inc reported revenue of $104M in FY2025 versus $43.6M in FY2021, a compound +24.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$104M
Latest YoY
+91.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.5%
Revenue +24.1%/yr
FY21 $43.6M
FY22 $81.3M
FY23 $145M
FY24 $54.0M
FY25 $104M
Net income
FY21 −$4.9M
FY22 −$7.0M
FY23 −$984K
FY24 −$62.7M
FY25 −$1.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tigo Energy, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TYGO

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Solar · 118 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +41% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Below median
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.47× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.80× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 20.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 88 · sector 18
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 60 · sector 0
HEALTH 27 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 14

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $221.03 $284.45 +29%
Nextpower Inc NXT $111.50 $69.61 -38%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,923 ₹3,613 +24%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥13.08 ¥12.13 -7%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.39 ¥4.75 +8%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.64 ¥22.76 +5%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.11 ¥7.01 -31%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $44.83 $22.20 -50%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,086 ₹912.32 -16%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.98 ¥7.97 -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tigo Energy, Inc (TYGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.72 versus a price of $1.22, about +41% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TYGO?
Our model-based fair value for Tigo Energy, Inc is $1.72 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.22.
What is the quality score of TYGO?
Tigo Energy, Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tigo Energy, Inc (TYGO)?
Tigo Energy, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $110M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TYGO?
The net profit margin of Tigo Energy, Inc is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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