U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft €15.34, price €62.50, upside -75.5%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €13.08 – €73.00 · fair‑value band €11.50 – €19.17 · the €62.50 price screens above the €15.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in start-ups, early venture, mid venture, late venture, bridge, expansion financing. It prefers to make investments in management buy-outs, and management buy-ins in small and medium-sized companies and growth companies.
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U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in start-ups, early venture, mid venture, late venture, bridge, expansion financing. It prefers to make investments in management buy-outs, and management buy-ins in small and medium-sized companies and growth companies. The firm seeks to invest in Information technology, Internet retail, online services, media, and communications sectors. It prefers to invest in Germany. The firm typically makes an equity investment between $0.1 million and $9 million in companies with a target enterprise value between $2 million and $20 million. It seeks to exit its investments through flotation within three years. The firm considers taking a majority share in its portfolio companies. U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1989 and is based in Munich, Germany.
Stock analysis
U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1) currently trades at €62.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €15.34, 75.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 11 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €11.50 (bear) to €19.17 (bull), the price of €62.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €0 in FY2025 versus €0 in FY2021. Reported net income was €2.8M in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €39.0M · P/E ratio 14.1 · P/S ratio 55.5 · EPS (TTM) €4.44 · Return on equity 24.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Revenue (TTM) €690K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −75%, UCA1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €11.50Fair Value €15.34Bull €19.17
Price €62.50 · Upside -75.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€3.38 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+11.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
2025 sits 114% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 665 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−75.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)24.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)14.1× · Pricier than median
P/B3.89× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)63.31× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 61
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)98· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 82
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UCA1
Frequently asked questions
Is U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €15.34 versus a price of €62.50, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UCA1?
Our model-based fair value for U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft is €15.34 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €62.50.
What is the quality score of UCA1?
U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €15.34 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €11.50, optimistic scenario €19.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €15.34, about −75% upside versus a price of €62.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €11.50, optimistic scenario €19.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €690K (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft it is €15.34 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €62.50. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, UCA1 trades above its calculated fair value: price €62.50, fair value €15.34, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UCA1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€62.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€15.34). For U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft the two are €47.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft at about €39.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €62.50; our models calculate a fair value of €15.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UCA1?
Our models span a range for U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €11.50, base €15.34, optimistic €19.17 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €62.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UCA1?
U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €15.34 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.9, P/S 63.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
Balance-sheet figures for U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 24.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UCA1 from its 52-week high?
U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft trades at €62.50, about 14% below its 52-week high of €73.00 and 73% above the low of €36.03 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €15.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €62.50, calculated fair value €15.34 (−75%), Quality Score 70/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UCA1 calculated?
We run U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €15.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €62.50. Our model-based fair value is €15.34, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€19.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft
How large is the market capitalisation of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
The market capitalisation of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft is €39.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft is 55.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
Earnings per share at U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft are €4.44 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft is 24.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft (UCA1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of U.C.A. Aktiengesellschaft is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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