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UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of UNIQA Insurance Group €12.47, price €17.36, upside -28.2%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
UNIQA Insurance Group
UN9 · XETRAOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value €12.47 · Overvalued (−28.2%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓4.1% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 44/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.43 – €18.80 · fair‑value band €9.86 – €16.70 · the €17.36 price screens above the €12.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
UNIQA Insurance Group AG operates as an insurance company in Austria and Central and Eastern Europe. The company operates through the UNIQA Austria, UNIQA International, and Reinsurance segments.
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UNIQA Insurance Group AG operates as an insurance company in Austria and Central and Eastern Europe. The company operates through the UNIQA Austria, UNIQA International, and Reinsurance segments. Its insurance product portfolio includes life, health, property, casualty, household, fire, motor vehicle, liability, medical expense, income protection, worker's compensation, marine, aviation, transport, and other insurance product services. The company offers its products and services through various distribution channels, including sales force, general agencies, brokers, banks, and direct sales. The company was formerly known as UNIQA Versicherungen AG and changed its name to UNIQA Insurance Group AG in July 2013. UNIQA Insurance Group AG was founded in 1811 and is based in Vienna, Austria.
Stock analysis
UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9) currently trades at €17.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.47, 28.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €13.97 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €17.36 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €6.69, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €9.86 (bear) to €16.70 (bull), the price of €17.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
UNIQA Insurance Group reported revenue of €5.9B in FY2025 versus €6.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was €425M in FY2025, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €5.4B · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) €1.38 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 13.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −28%, UN9 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €9.86
Fair Value €12.47
Bull €16.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4991 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
€9.59
€11.39
€14.89
76
Gordon GGM
€5.29
€7.57
€9.87
69
DDM Multi-Stage
€5.29
€7.36
€9.66
67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€5.29
€7.57
€9.87
69
DDM Multi-Stage
€5.29
€7.36
€9.66
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€13.49
€17.99
€22.49
63
P/B Multiple
€10.48
€13.97
€17.47
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€4.99
€6.69
€9.98
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€9.59
€11.39
€14.89
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
55/100
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Profitability
32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+21.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19.8% vs 3.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
UN9 screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Allianz SE →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allianz SE ALV | €412.00 | €229.84 | −44% |
| Zurich Insurance Group ZURN | CHF 563.60 | CHF 328.80 | −42% |
| AXA SA CS | €41.90 | €36.28 | −13% |
| Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G | €42.75 | €10.92 | −74% |
| Sun Life Financial Inc SLF | $79.48 | $41.03 | −48% |
| American International Group AIG | $74.17 | $71.58 | −3% |
| Talanx AG TLX | €117.40 | €91.88 | −22% |
| The Hartford Insurance Group HIG | $126.04 | $115.03 | −9% |
| Arch Capital Group ACGL | $94.26 | $127.51 | +35% |
| Swiss Life Holding SLHN | CHF 891.00 | CHF 413.93 | −54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.47 versus a price of €17.36, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UN9?
Our model-based fair value for UNIQA Insurance Group is €12.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €17.36.
What is the quality score of UN9?
UNIQA Insurance Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €12.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.86, optimistic scenario €16.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UNIQA Insurance Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €12.47, about −28% upside versus a price of €17.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €9.86, optimistic scenario €16.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
UNIQA Insurance Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €7.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does UNIQA Insurance Group pay a dividend?
UNIQA Insurance Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.15% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, UNIQA Insurance Group would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UN9 use?
Our models discount UNIQA Insurance Group at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For UNIQA Insurance Group that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at UNIQA Insurance Group grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into UNIQA Insurance Group (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.69 %: that much free cash flow UNIQA Insurance Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UNIQA Insurance Group it is €12.47 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €17.36. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is UNIQA Insurance Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UN9 trades above its calculated fair value: price €17.36, fair value €12.47, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UN9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€17.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€12.47). For UNIQA Insurance Group the two are €4.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UNIQA Insurance Group worth?
The market values UNIQA Insurance Group at about €5.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €17.36; our models calculate a fair value of €12.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UN9?
Our models span a range for UNIQA Insurance Group: cautious scenario €9.86, base €12.47, optimistic €16.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €17.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is UN9 from its 52-week high?
UNIQA Insurance Group trades at €17.36, about 8% below its 52-week high of €18.80 and 46% above the low of €11.88 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €12.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UNIQA Insurance Group?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Allianz SE, Zurich Insurance Group, AXA SA, Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UNIQA Insurance Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €17.36, calculated fair value €12.47 (−28%), Quality Score 55/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UN9 calculated?
We run UNIQA Insurance Group through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €12.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. UNIQA Insurance Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €17.36. Our model-based fair value is €12.47, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UNIQA Insurance Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€16.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9) come from?
Earnings per share at UNIQA Insurance Group grew +3.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.0 %, EBIT margin +3.6 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of UNIQA Insurance Group
How large is the market capitalisation of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The market capitalisation of UNIQA Insurance Group is €5.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of UNIQA Insurance Group is 12.6. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UNIQA Insurance Group is 0.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
Earnings per share at UNIQA Insurance Group are €1.38 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The dividend yield of UNIQA Insurance Group is 4.1% (payout 52.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The net margin of UNIQA Insurance Group is 7.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UNIQA Insurance Group is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UNIQA Insurance Group is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
The operating margin of UNIQA Insurance Group is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
Revenue at UNIQA Insurance Group is growing +7.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9)?
Earnings per share at UNIQA Insurance Group are growing −98.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does UNIQA Insurance Group (UN9) carry?
The net debt of UNIQA Insurance Group is €738M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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