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Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Uni-President China Holdings $1.33, price $0.88, upside +50.9%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN KYG9222R1065

Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Uni-President China Holdings

UNPSF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $1.33 · Strongly undervalued (+50.9%)

✓Quality 66/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.3 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Moderate moat 48/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1556 – $0.9704 · fair‑value band $0.9200 – $1.67 · the $0.8816 price screens below the $1.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Uni-President China Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells beverages and food in the People's Republic of China. It offers instant noodles, tea drinks, juices, milk tea, coffee, bottled water, and bottle can drinks. The company also engages in the wholesale of pre-packaged food and dairy products, and forage and fertilizers, as well as manufactures and sells mineral water and seasonings. In addition, it is involved in the trading, leasing, real estate, catering, management consulting, and human resource management related activities. Uni-President China Holdings Ltd was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Uni-President China Holdings Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Cayman President Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF) currently trades at $0.8816, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.33, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.21 per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the $0.8816 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.3200, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $0.9200 (bear) to $1.67 (bull), the price of $0.8816 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Uni-President China Holdings reported revenue of 30.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 25.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $3.8B · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% · Operating margin 6.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 162% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 51%, UNPSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9200 Fair Value $1.33 Bull $1.67

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $0.8100 $1.17 $1.67 80

Growth DCF $0.8300 $1.15 $1.58 79

Owner Earnings $0.7400 $1.06 $1.52 77

All 25 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $0.8100 $1.17 $1.67 80

Owner Earnings $0.7400 $1.06 $1.52 77

5Y Revenue Exit $0.7400 $1.11 $1.58 72

5Y EBITDA Exit $0.9400 $1.48 $2.09 75

5Y P/E Exit $0.9100 $1.43 $1.95 71

10Y Revenue Exit $0.7400 $1.08 $1.50 67

10Y EBITDA Exit $0.8800 $1.32 $1.87 68

10Y P/E Exit $0.8600 $1.28 $1.77 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.4700 $1.23 $1.60 65

PEG = 1.0 $0.2300 $0.3400 $0.4400 57

EPV $0.5200 $0.6000 $0.6700 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $0.5600 $1.09 $1.70 66

DDM Multi-Stage $0.5600 $0.8500 $1.15 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple $1.09 $1.45 $1.81 63

P/S Multiple $0.8800 $1.17 $1.47 58

P/B Multiple $0.8800 $1.17 $1.47 55

EV/EBIT $1.03 $1.37 $1.70 66

EV/EBITDA $1.16 $1.54 $1.92 67

EV/Revenue $0.7400 $1.05 $1.36 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.2400 $0.3200 $0.4700 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $0.8300 $1.15 $1.58 79

Rev-Margin DCF $0.7400 $1.12 $1.54 73

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.4600 $0.5500 $0.7300 76

ROIC Compounder $0.5300 $0.6500 $0.7900 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $0.8500 $1.21 $1.58 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 64

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 40

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 54

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 66

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 89

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 100

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 93

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+1.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.3%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.4% a year

Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.5%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+5.9%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+5.9%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.9% vs 12.6%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−6.7%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+4.9%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.3% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.0%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.7%

Projected 2028 (sales)+4.3%

Projected 2029 (sales)+4.0%

Projected 2030 (sales)+3.7%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (4 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype

Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

Uni-President China Holdings (SEHK:220) After Earnings Growth, Is The Valuation Too Rich? Yahoo Finance · Aug 8, 2026
4 Days Left Until Uni-President China Holdings Ltd (HKG:220) Trades Ex-Dividend Yahoo Finance · May 21, 2020
Is Uni-President China Holdings Ltd's (HKG:220) High P/E Ratio A Problem For Investors? Yahoo Finance · May 11, 2020

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Uni-President China Holdings · Fair Value
$1.33 +34%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNPSF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Uni-President China Holdings · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$1.33</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+34%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Uni-President China Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNPSF

Frequently asked questions

Is Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.33 versus a price of $0.8816, about +51% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of UNPSF?

Our model-based fair value for Uni-President China Holdings is $1.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8816.

What is the quality score of UNPSF?

Uni-President China Holdings has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $1.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Uni-President China Holdings stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $1.33, about +51% upside versus a price of $0.8816 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $1.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

Uni-President China Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 31.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Uni-President China Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by -6.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UNPSF use?

Our models discount Uni-President China Holdings at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Uni-President China Holdings that is -6.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Uni-President China Holdings grew +6.3 % a year. The price currently implies -6.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Uni-President China Holdings (-6.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.62 %: that much free cash flow Uni-President China Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Uni-President China Holdings it is $1.33 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.8816. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Uni-President China Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, UNPSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.8816, fair value $1.33, a gap of about +51% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of UNPSF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8816); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.33). For Uni-President China Holdings the two are $0.4484 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Uni-President China Holdings worth?

The market values Uni-President China Holdings at about $3.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.8816; our models calculate a fair value of $1.33 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UNPSF?

Our models span a range for Uni-President China Holdings: cautious scenario $0.9200, base $1.33, optimistic $1.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.8816). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How far is UNPSF from its 52-week high?

Uni-President China Holdings trades at $0.8816, about 9% below its 52-week high of $0.9704 and 162% above the low of $0.3365 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.33 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Uni-President China Holdings?

From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Uni-President China Holdings stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.8816, calculated fair value $1.33 (+51%), Quality Score 66/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of UNPSF calculated?

We run Uni-President China Holdings through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Uni-President China Holdings currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.8816. Our model-based fair value is $1.33, about +51% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Uni-President China Holdings right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.9200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.9200 to $1.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF) come from?

Earnings per share at Uni-President China Holdings grew +13.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin +10.7 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Uni-President China Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The market capitalisation of Uni-President China Holdings is $3.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/E ratio of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The price-to-earnings ratio of Uni-President China Holdings is 12.6. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.

What is the P/S ratio of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Uni-President China Holdings is 0.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

Earnings per share at Uni-President China Holdings are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The net margin of Uni-President China Holdings is 6.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Uni-President China Holdings is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Uni-President China Holdings is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

The operating margin of Uni-President China Holdings is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

Revenue at Uni-President China Holdings is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF)?

Earnings per share at Uni-President China Holdings are growing −13.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Uni-President China Holdings (UNPSF) carry?

The net debt of Uni-President China Holdings is 643M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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