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Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Universal Robina Corporation $1.41, price $1.00, upside +41.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Universal Robina Corporation
UVRBF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $1.41 · Undervalued (+41.0%)
!Quality 59/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!3.5% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 45/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7681 – $2.61 · fair‑value band $0.9200 – $2.01 · the $1.00 price screens below the $1.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Universal Robina Corporation engages in the manufacture of branded food product in the Philippines and internationally. It operates through three segments: Branded Consumer Foods, Animal Nutrition and Health and Commodities.
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Universal Robina Corporation engages in the manufacture of branded food product in the Philippines and internationally. It operates through three segments: Branded Consumer Foods, Animal Nutrition and Health and Commodities. The Branded Consumer Foods segment manufactures, distributes, sells, and markets a range of food and beverage products, such as snacky chips, chocolates, canned beans, candies, coffee, biscuits, beverages, and noodles, as well as ready-to-drink tea products. This segment also manufactures bi-axially oriented polypropylene films that are used in packaging; and flexible packaging materials for branded products. The Animal Nutrition and Health segment focuses on animal nutrition and animal feed; pet food; and drugs and disinfectants segments, as well as engages in hog and poultry farming. This segment is also involved in sugar milling and refining, as well as flour milling and pasta manufacturing activities; production and distribution of glucose and soya products; and renewable energy business. The Commodities segment includes sugar and renewables, including sugar, distillery, and cogeneration, flour, and others. The company engages in bonds and securities investment and fund sourcing activities. It also sells its branded food products to convenience stores, trading companies, and distributors, as well as consumer food products through retailers and regional distributors. The company's licensed brands include Vitasoy, Calbee and B'lue, and others. Universal Robina Corporation was founded in 1954 and is based in Quezon City, the Philippines. Universal Robina Corporation is a subsidiary of JG Summit Holdings, Inc.
Stock analysis
Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF) currently trades at $1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.41, implying the stock looks roughly 29.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1.58 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $1.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.4900, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.9200 (bear) to $2.01 (bull), the price of $1.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Universal Robina Corporation reported revenue of 168B PHP in FY2025 versus 116B PHP in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was 10.2B PHP in FY2025, compounding −18.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.1B · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) $0.0800 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 41%, UVRBF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.9200
Fair Value $1.41
Bull $2.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.5600
$0.8100
$1.17
80
Growth DCF
$0.5700
$0.7900
$1.09
79
Owner Earnings
$0.9600
$1.41
$2.07
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.5600
$0.8100
$1.17
80
Owner Earnings
$0.9600
$1.41
$2.07
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.8900
$1.47
$2.20
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.14
$1.92
$2.84
74
5Y P/E Exit
$0.9400
$1.55
$2.18
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7300
$1.22
$1.88
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.9200
$1.53
$2.35
67
10Y P/E Exit
$0.7900
$1.27
$1.86
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.5200
$1.59
$2.11
65
Lynch FV
$0.3400
$0.4900
$0.6300
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.3400
$0.4900
$0.6300
57
EPV
$0.9500
$1.09
$1.21
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.5900
$1.18
$1.78
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.5900
$0.9500
$1.24
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.20
$1.60
$2.00
63
P/S Multiple
$0.9700
$1.30
$1.62
58
P/B Multiple
$0.9700
$1.30
$1.62
55
EV/EBIT
$1.56
$2.05
$2.54
66
EV/EBITDA
$1.64
$2.16
$2.68
67
EV/Revenue
$1.13
$1.58
$2.04
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.4600
$0.6200
$0.9300
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.5700
$0.7900
$1.09
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.8900
$1.46
$2.10
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.7700
$0.8300
$0.9200
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.9600
$1.17
$1.44
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.9900
$1.41
$1.84
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Profitability
45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
89
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.5% vs −1.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in PHP, Philippines: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 3.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.9% a year for the price and +1.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+4.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.8%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 635 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 74.63 | CHF 59.51 | −20% |
| Danone S.A BN | €59.12 | €50.65 | −14% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥33.93 | ¥37.32 | +10% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $23.45 | $29.20 | +25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,363 | ₹724.74 | −47% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥26.90 | ¥41.84 | +56% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥24.55 | ¥9.98 | −59% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $31.67 | $34.59 | +9% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.68 SGD | 5.14 SGD | +40% |
| Kerry Group KRZ | €85.55 | €59.96 | −30% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.41 versus a price of $1.00, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UVRBF?
Our model-based fair value for Universal Robina Corporation is $1.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.00.
What is the quality score of UVRBF?
Universal Robina Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $2.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Universal Robina Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.41, about +41% upside versus a price of $1.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $2.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
Universal Robina Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 169B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Universal Robina Corporation pay a dividend?
Universal Robina Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Universal Robina Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +14.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UVRBF use?
Our models discount Universal Robina Corporation at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Universal Robina Corporation that is +14.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Universal Robina Corporation grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies +14.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Universal Robina Corporation (+14.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.60 %: that much free cash flow Universal Robina Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Universal Robina Corporation it is $1.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Universal Robina Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, UVRBF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.00, fair value $1.41, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UVRBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.41). For Universal Robina Corporation the two are $0.4100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Universal Robina Corporation worth?
The market values Universal Robina Corporation at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.00; our models calculate a fair value of $1.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UVRBF?
Our models span a range for Universal Robina Corporation: cautious scenario $0.9200, base $1.41, optimistic $2.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UVRBF?
Universal Robina Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.41 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 1.1, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
What is the PEG ratio of UVRBF?
The PEG ratio of Universal Robina Corporation is 2.18 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Universal Robina Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UVRBF from its 52-week high?
Universal Robina Corporation trades at $1.00, about 17% below its 52-week high of $1.21 and 4% above the low of $0.9654 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Universal Robina Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Universal Robina Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.00, calculated fair value $1.41 (+41%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UVRBF calculated?
We run Universal Robina Corporation through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Universal Robina Corporation currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.00. Our model-based fair value is $1.41, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Universal Robina Corporation right now?
Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.9200 to $2.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF) come from?
Earnings per share at Universal Robina Corporation grew −0.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Universal Robina Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The market capitalisation of Universal Robina Corporation is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Universal Robina Corporation is 0.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
Earnings per share at Universal Robina Corporation are $0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The dividend yield of Universal Robina Corporation is 3.5% (payout 43.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The net margin of Universal Robina Corporation is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Universal Robina Corporation is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Universal Robina Corporation is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
The operating margin of Universal Robina Corporation is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
Revenue at Universal Robina Corporation is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF)?
Earnings per share at Universal Robina Corporation are growing −1.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Universal Robina Corporation (UVRBF) carry?
The net debt of Universal Robina Corporation is 14.9B PHP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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