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Vinci Compass Investments Ltd (VINP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $639M

VC Vinci Compass Investments Ltd logo Vinci Compass Investments Ltd VINP · US
Price$10.07
Fair Value$6.77
Upside-32.8%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 26.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $5.07 – $8.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.95 $6.22 Fair Value $6.77 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.22 – $12.95 · fair‑value band $5.07 – $8.47 · the $10.07 price screens above the $6.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd (VINP) currently trades at $10.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.77, implying the stock looks roughly 32.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue grew 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at $848M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.07 (bear case) to $8.47 (bull case); at $10.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -33%, VINP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $34.83 $64.35 $117.80 80
Residual Income $24.62 $27.10 $36.83 76
Rev-Margin DCF $20.12 $44.39 $81.51 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $34.69 $81.28 $167.72 31
5Y P/E Exit $26.42 $60.92 $105.56 38
10Y P/E Exit $29.70 $64.03 $123.00 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $21.41 $149.29 $209.51 54
Lynch FV $49.10 $70.14 $91.18 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $30.69 $40.93 $51.16 63
P/B Multiple $30.65 $40.87 $51.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.60 $19.56 $29.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $34.83 $64.35 $117.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF $20.12 $44.39 $81.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.62 $27.10 $36.83 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($70.14) versus Asset-Based ($19.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.1%
Net margin 26.0%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow $234M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.5
More key figures
Operating margin 31.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.7800
EPS growth (YoY) +73.3%
Net debt $848M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 87
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 4
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products and Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S segment provides access to a network of general partners and asset managers.

Full company description

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products and Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S segment provides access to a network of general partners and asset managers. This segment also offers proprietary investment solutions; multi-asset allocation strategies, as well as portfolio and management services; and liquid and alternative, separate mandates, commingled funds, brokerage, pension plans, solutions, and Vinci retirement services. The Credit segment operates public and private credit, opportunistic capital solutions, and agribusiness credit businesses. The Private Equity segment focuses on control and co-control investments, and minority investments in small-to-medium enterprises. The Equities segment delivers investment solutions; and sub-strategies to address different investor profiles and market conditions, including long only, dividends, small caps, long biased, and other specialized approaches. The Real Assets segment comprises investments focused on tangible, income-generating assets through real estate, infrastructure, and forestry. The Corporate Advisory segment provides financial and strategic advisory services, focusing on IPO advisory and mergers and acquisition transactions to entrepreneurs, corporate senior management teams, and boards of directors. Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. was formerly known as Vinci Partners Investments Ltd. and changed its name to Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. in July 2025. Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd reported revenue of $958M in FY2025 versus $493M in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was $213M in FY2025, compounding +0.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$958M
Latest YoY
+44.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+27.0%
Revenue +18.0%/yr
FY21 $493M
FY22 $502M
FY23 $565M
FY24 $665M
FY25 $958M
Net income +0.6%/yr
FY21 $209M
FY22 $219M
FY23 $221M
FY24 $118M
FY25 $213M

VINP screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vinci Compass Investments Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VINP

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Below median
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.44× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.5× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 86 · sector 6
PAST 55 · sector 26
HEALTH 78 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vinci Compass Investments Ltd (VINP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.77 versus a price of $10.07, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VINP?
Our model-based fair value for Vinci Compass Investments Ltd is $6.77 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.07.
What is the quality score of VINP?
Vinci Compass Investments Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vinci Compass Investments Ltd (VINP)?
Vinci Compass Investments Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VINP?
The net profit margin of Vinci Compass Investments Ltd is about 26.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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