Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe $12.04, price $16.75, upside -28.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.37 – $16.75 · fair‑value band $10.10 – $17.23 · the $16.75 price screens above the $12.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Vienna Insurance Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in providing insurance products and services in Austria and internationally.
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Vienna Insurance Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in providing insurance products and services in Austria and internationally. The company provides life; health; and property and casualty insurance products, such as medical expense, income protection, worker's compensation, motor vehicle liability, motor own damage, other motor, marine, aviation, transport, fire and other damage to property, general liability, credit and suretyship, legal expenses, assistance, and miscellaneous financial losses insurance. It offers reinsurance products and services, such as Issued and held Treaty reinsurance. It sells its products through direct sales, banks, brokers, and agents. The company was founded in 1824 and is based in Vienna, Austria. Vienna Insurance Group AG is a subsidiary of Wiener Städtische Wechselseitige Versicherungsverein - Vermögensverwaltung - Vienna Insurance Group.
Stock analysis
Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR (VNRFY) currently trades at $16.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.04, implying the stock looks roughly 39.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $15.69 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $16.75 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.03, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $10.10 (bear) to $17.23 (bull), the price of $16.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR reported revenue of €14.8B in FY2025 versus €10.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was €835M in FY2025, compounding +22.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.8B · P/E ratio 11.1 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) $1.48 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −28%, VNRFY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.10Fair Value $12.04Bull $17.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.8% vs −6.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (15 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Diversified · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−28.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.4% · Above median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)11.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.37× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF20.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.8× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)42· sector 42
PAST (return on equity)49· sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)54· sector 74
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VNRFY
Frequently asked questions
Is Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.04 versus a price of $16.75, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VNRFY?
Our model-based fair value for Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is $12.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.75.
What is the quality score of VNRFY?
Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.10, optimistic scenario $17.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.04, about −28% upside versus a price of $16.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.10, optimistic scenario $17.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €13.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR pay a dividend?
Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VNRFY use?
Our models discount Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.33 %: that much free cash flow Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR it is $12.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $16.75. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VNRFY trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.75, fair value $12.04, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VNRFY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.04). For Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR the two are $4.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR worth?
The market values Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR at about $9.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $16.75; our models calculate a fair value of $12.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VNRFY?
Our models span a range for Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR: cautious scenario $10.10, base $12.04, optimistic $17.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $16.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VNRFY?
Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.04 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.4%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VNRFY from its 52-week high?
Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR trades at $16.75, at its 52-week high of $16.75 and 63% above the low of $10.26 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Allianz SE, AXA SA, Zurich Insurance Group, Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $16.75, calculated fair value $12.04 (−28%), Quality Score 44/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VNRFY calculated?
We run Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $16.75. Our model-based fair value is $12.04, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR right now?
Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY) come from?
Earnings per share at Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR grew −1.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −5.9 %, EBIT margin +4.6 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The market capitalisation of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is $9.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is 0.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
Earnings per share at Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR are $1.48 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The dividend yield of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is 2.7% (payout 30.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The net margin of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is 5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
The operating margin of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
Revenue at Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is growing +8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY)?
Earnings per share at Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR are growing +63.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (VNRFY) carry?
The net debt of Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe ADR is €469M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026