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Vienna Insurance Group (VNRFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $9.8B

VI Vienna Insurance Group logo Vienna Insurance Group VNRFY · US
Price$14.97
Fair Value$16.43
Upside+9.8%
Quality44/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.68% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $12.33 – $20.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.80 $2.37 Fair Value $16.43 Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.37 – $15.80 · fair‑value band $12.33 – $20.54 · the $14.97 price screens below the $16.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Vienna Insurance Group (VNRFY) currently trades at $14.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.43, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Vienna Insurance Group generated revenue of $13.8B at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at $469M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.33 (bear case) to $20.54 (bull case); at $14.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 10%, VNRFY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $10.12 $11.66 $21.36 76
Gordon GGM $3.05 $6.08 $9.21 70
P/E Multiple $12.72 $16.96 $21.20 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.05 $6.08 $9.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.05 $5.03 $6.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.72 $16.96 $21.20 63
P/B Multiple $11.76 $15.69 $19.61 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.60 $7.51 $11.20 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.12 $11.66 $21.36 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($15.69) versus Dividend Discount ($5.03). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin 6.1%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow $476M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.1
More key figures
Operating margin 11.5%
EPS (TTM) $1.48
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +63.2%
Net debt $469M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vienna Insurance Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in providing insurance products and services in Austria and internationally.

Full company description

Vienna Insurance Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in providing insurance products and services in Austria and internationally. The company provides life; health; and property and casualty insurance products, such as medical expense, income protection, worker's compensation, motor vehicle liability, motor own damage, other motor, marine, aviation, transport, fire and other damage to property, general liability, credit and suretyship, legal expenses, assistance, and miscellaneous financial losses insurance. It offers reinsurance products and services, such as Issued and held Treaty reinsurance. It sells its products through direct sales, banks, brokers, and agents. The company was founded in 1824 and is based in Vienna, Austria. Vienna Insurance Group AG is a subsidiary of Wiener Städtische Wechselseitige Versicherungsverein - Vermögensverwaltung - Vienna Insurance Group.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vienna Insurance Group reported revenue of $14.8B in FY2025 versus $10.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $835M in FY2025, compounding +22.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$14.8B
Latest YoY
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+14.9%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 $10.6B
FY22 $9.0B
FY23 $11.6B
FY24 $12.9B
FY25 $14.8B
Net income +22.1%/yr
FY21 $376M
FY22 $472M
FY23 $559M
FY24 $645M
FY25 $835M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vienna Insurance Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VNRFY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 84 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.37× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 20.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 44
FUTURE 42 · sector 31
PAST 49 · sector 49
HEALTH 89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB 8,562 MXN 10,844 MXN +27%
Allianz SE ALV €421.00 €369.31 -12%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 624.40 CHF 619.80 -1%
AXA SA AXAN 888.28 MXN 1,249 MXN +41%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €42.90 €12.18 -72%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$114.20 C$87.83 -23%
BB Seguridade Participações S.A BBSE3 R$40.71 R$60.39 +48%
Tryg A/S TRYG kr 154.00 kr 116.45 -24%
PT Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk SMMA 20,625 IDR 4,176 IDR -80%
Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A CXSE3 R$21.77 R$18.60 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vienna Insurance Group (VNRFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.43 versus a price of $14.97, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VNRFY?
Our model-based fair value for Vienna Insurance Group is $16.43 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.97.
What is the quality score of VNRFY?
Vienna Insurance Group has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vienna Insurance Group (VNRFY)?
Vienna Insurance Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VNRFY?
The net profit margin of Vienna Insurance Group is about 6.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Vienna Insurance Group pay a dividend?
Vienna Insurance Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.68% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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