Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited $0.62, price $0.82, upside -24.4%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5913 – $5.39 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $0.7700 · the $0.8200 price screens above the $0.6200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Vitasoy International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells food and beverages in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, and Singapore. The company offers soya milk and other plant milk products, almonds, oats, soybeans, tea, water, juice, tofu, etc.
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Vitasoy International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells food and beverages in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, and Singapore. The company offers soya milk and other plant milk products, almonds, oats, soybeans, tea, water, juice, tofu, etc. It operates tuck shops and catering business; distributes beverages; and exports soya related products, as well as invests in properties. It sells its products through distributors and retailers. Vitasoy International Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1940 and is headquartered in Tuen Mun, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF) currently trades at $0.8200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6200, 24.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.04 per share, and 12 of the 25 models we run sit above the $0.8200 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1500, and 13 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.4600 (bear) to $0.7700 (bull), the price of $0.8200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Vitasoy International Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$6.3B in FY2025 versus HK$7.5B in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$235M in FY2025, compounding −19.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $879M · P/E ratio 27.3 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Operating margin 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −24%, VTSYF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.4600Fair Value $0.6200Bull $0.7700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−17.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.6% vs −4.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 6%
2025 sits 190% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.7% a year for the price and −2.4% for the forecasts.
Compare Vitasoy International Holdings Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 620 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−14.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.6% · Below median
Return on assets3.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)17.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vitasoy International Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VTSYF
Frequently asked questions
Is Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6200 versus a price of $0.8200, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VTSYF?
Our model-based fair value for Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is $0.6200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8200.
What is the quality score of VTSYF?
Vitasoy International Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $0.7700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vitasoy International Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6200, about −24% upside versus a price of $0.8200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $0.7700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
Vitasoy International Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vitasoy International Holdings Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -6.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VTSYF use?
Our models discount Vitasoy International Holdings Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.16, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vitasoy International Holdings Limited that is -6.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vitasoy International Holdings Limited grew -2.8 % a year. The price currently implies -6.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (-6.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.64 %: that much free cash flow Vitasoy International Holdings Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vitasoy International Holdings Limited it is $0.6200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.8200. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vitasoy International Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VTSYF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.8200, fair value $0.6200, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VTSYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6200). For Vitasoy International Holdings Limited the two are $0.2000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vitasoy International Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Vitasoy International Holdings Limited at about $879M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.8200; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VTSYF?
Our models span a range for Vitasoy International Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.4600, base $0.6200, optimistic $0.7700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.8200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VTSYF?
Vitasoy International Holdings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.6200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.1, P/B 2.2, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
What is the PEG ratio of VTSYF?
The PEG ratio of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is 2.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VTSYF from its 52-week high?
Vitasoy International Holdings Limited trades at $0.8200, about 26% below its 52-week high of $1.11 and 6% above the low of $0.7700 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vitasoy International Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vitasoy International Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.8200, calculated fair value $0.6200 (−24%), Quality Score 72/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VTSYF calculated?
We run Vitasoy International Holdings Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vitasoy International Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.8200. Our model-based fair value is $0.6200, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vitasoy International Holdings Limited right now?
A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF) come from?
Earnings per share at Vitasoy International Holdings Limited grew −11.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.2 %, EBIT margin −11.7 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
The market capitalisation of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is $879M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is 1.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
Earnings per share at Vitasoy International Holdings Limited are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
The net margin of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
The operating margin of Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
Revenue at Vitasoy International Holdings Limited is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF)?
Earnings per share at Vitasoy International Holdings Limited are growing +1.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (VTSYF) hold?
Vitasoy International Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$705M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026