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vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of vTv Therapeutics Inc $13.86, price $31.10, upside -55.5%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US · ISIN US9183852048

VT vTv Therapeutics Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

vTv Therapeutics Inc

VTVT · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $13.86 · Strongly overvalued (−55%)
!Quality 25/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −18.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$100.80 $7.89 Fair Value $13.86 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.89 – $100.80 · fair‑value band $9.14 – $17.32 · the $31.10 price screens above the $13.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

vTv Therapeutics Inc., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing oral small molecule drug candidates intended to treat people living with diabetes and other chronic diseases.

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vTv Therapeutics Inc., a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing oral small molecule drug candidates intended to treat people living with diabetes and other chronic diseases. Its lead drug candidate is cadisegliatin (TTP399), an orally administered small molecule and liver-selective glucokinase activator that is in Phase III clinical trial to treat type 1 diabetes. The company is also investing a range of molecules across various indications for chronic diseases. It has a license agreement Newsoara Biopharma Co., Ltd. to develop and commercialize phosphodiesterase type 4 inhibitors program. vTv Therapeutics Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in High Point, North Carolina.

Stock analysis

vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT) currently trades at $31.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.86, implying the stock looks roughly 124.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $9.14 (bear) to $17.32 (bull), the price of $31.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

vTv Therapeutics Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $4.0M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$27.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $124M · P/S ratio 3.57 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7400 · Net margin −12.9% · Return on equity −15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −96.8% · Operating margin −25.1% · Revenue (TTM) $36.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 122% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −55%, VTVT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $9.14 Fair Value $13.86 Bull $17.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $8.15 $10.92 $16.30 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.15 $10.92 $16.30 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.1%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−755.9% (2019) → −2,377.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

VTVT screens 124% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 648 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −10% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −13% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −25% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.36× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $514.99 $566.49 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $803.90 $1,252 +56%
argenx SE ARGX $963.79 $918.60 −5%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$179.24 A$197.16 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $251.65 $218.36 −13%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.52 $24.22 −59%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $368.08 $280.94 −24%
BioNTech SE BNTX $100.87 $63.62 −37%

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vTv Therapeutics Inc · Fair Value
$13.86 −124%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "vTv Therapeutics Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VTVT

Frequently asked questions

Is vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.86 versus a price of $31.10, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VTVT?
Our model-based fair value for vTv Therapeutics Inc is $13.86 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $31.10.
What is the quality score of VTVT?
vTv Therapeutics Inc has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.86 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.14, optimistic scenario $17.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the vTv Therapeutics Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.86, about −55% upside versus a price of $31.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $9.14, optimistic scenario $17.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
vTv Therapeutics Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $36.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For vTv Therapeutics Inc it is $13.86 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $31.10. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is vTv Therapeutics Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VTVT trades above its calculated fair value: price $31.10, fair value $13.86, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VTVT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($31.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.86). For vTv Therapeutics Inc the two are $17.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is vTv Therapeutics Inc worth?
The market values vTv Therapeutics Inc at about $124M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $31.10; our models calculate a fair value of $13.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VTVT?
Our models span a range for vTv Therapeutics Inc: cautious scenario $9.14, base $13.86, optimistic $17.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $31.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
Balance-sheet figures for vTv Therapeutics Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −15.8%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VTVT from its 52-week high?
vTv Therapeutics Inc trades at $31.10, about 29% below its 52-week high of $44.00 and 122% above the low of $14.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to vTv Therapeutics Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is vTv Therapeutics Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $31.10, calculated fair value $13.86 (−55%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VTVT calculated?
We run vTv Therapeutics Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. vTv Therapeutics Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was $31.10. Our model-based fair value is $13.86, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with vTv Therapeutics Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($9.14 to $17.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of vTv Therapeutics Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
The market capitalisation of vTv Therapeutics Inc is $124M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of vTv Therapeutics Inc is 3.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
Earnings per share at vTv Therapeutics Inc are $−0.7400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
The net margin of vTv Therapeutics Inc is −12.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of vTv Therapeutics Inc is −15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of vTv Therapeutics Inc is −96.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT)?
The operating margin of vTv Therapeutics Inc is −25.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT) generate?
The free cash flow of vTv Therapeutics Inc is −$25.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does vTv Therapeutics Inc (VTVT) hold?
vTv Therapeutics Inc holds more cash than debt, $88.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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