Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Wam Strategic Value Ltd A$2.27, price A$1.14, upside +99.1%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.8007 – A$1.17 · fair‑value band A$0.8290 – A$3.40 · the A$1.14 price screens below the A$2.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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WAM Strategic Value Limited invests in discounted assets. The company provide capital growth over medium to long term, deliver fully franked dividends and preserve capital. It also offers risk-adjusted returns and intends to invest in LIC. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR) currently trades at A$1.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 49.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$3.43 per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the A$1.14 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.6900, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.8290 (bear) to A$3.40 (bull), the price of A$1.14 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Wam Strategic Value Ltd reported revenue of A$21.1M in FY2026 versus −A$20.5M in FY2022. Reported net income was A$12.7M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$205M (≈ $145M) · P/E ratio 16.3 · P/S ratio 9.82 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0700 · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin 60.3% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 99%, WAR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.8290Fair Value A$2.27Bull A$3.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0017 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+43.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.5%
Profit margin 2023 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.89% → 68%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Wam Strategic Value Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 658 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+100% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)60% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)74% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth165% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.5% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wam Strategic Value Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WAR
Frequently asked questions
Is Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$2.27 versus a price of A$1.14, about +99% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WAR?
Our model-based fair value for Wam Strategic Value Ltd is A$2.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.14.
What is the quality score of WAR?
Wam Strategic Value Ltd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$2.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.8290, optimistic scenario A$3.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wam Strategic Value Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$2.27, about +99% upside versus a price of A$1.14 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.8290, optimistic scenario A$3.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
Wam Strategic Value Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$32.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Wam Strategic Value Ltd pay a dividend?
Wam Strategic Value Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.53% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wam Strategic Value Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -1.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WAR use?
Our models discount Wam Strategic Value Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wam Strategic Value Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Wam Strategic Value Ltd grew -1.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wam Strategic Value Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.45 %: that much free cash flow Wam Strategic Value Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wam Strategic Value Ltd it is A$2.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$1.14. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wam Strategic Value Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, WAR trades below its calculated fair value: price A$1.14, fair value A$2.27, a gap of about +99% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$2.27). For Wam Strategic Value Ltd the two are A$1.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wam Strategic Value Ltd worth?
The market values Wam Strategic Value Ltd at about A$205M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$1.14; our models calculate a fair value of A$2.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WAR?
Our models span a range for Wam Strategic Value Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.8290, base A$2.27, optimistic A$3.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$1.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WAR?
Wam Strategic Value Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$2.27 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wam Strategic Value Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WAR from its 52-week high?
Wam Strategic Value Ltd trades at A$1.14, about 2% below its 52-week high of A$1.17 and 10% above the low of A$1.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$2.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wam Strategic Value Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wam Strategic Value Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$1.14, calculated fair value A$2.27 (+99%), Quality Score 77/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WAR calculated?
We run Wam Strategic Value Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$2.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Wam Strategic Value Ltd currently trades 99 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$1.14. Our model-based fair value is A$2.27, about +99% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wam Strategic Value Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.8290 to A$3.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Wam Strategic Value Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The market capitalisation of Wam Strategic Value Ltd is A$205M (≈ $145M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wam Strategic Value Ltd is 9.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
Earnings per share at Wam Strategic Value Ltd are A$0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The dividend yield of Wam Strategic Value Ltd is 5.5% (payout 90.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The net margin of Wam Strategic Value Ltd is 60.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wam Strategic Value Ltd is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wam Strategic Value Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
The operating margin of Wam Strategic Value Ltd is 73.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
Revenue at Wam Strategic Value Ltd is growing +165% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR)?
Earnings per share at Wam Strategic Value Ltd are growing +159% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Wam Strategic Value Ltd (WAR) hold?
Wam Strategic Value Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$65.9M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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