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Where Food Comes From, Inc (WFCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $61.5M

WF Where Food Comes From, Inc logo Where Food Comes From, Inc WFCF · US
Price$12.99
Fair Value$5.18
Upside-60.1%
Quality76/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $3.57 – $7.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −1.1% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.57 to $7.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.13 $8.65 Fair Value $5.18 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.65 – $18.13 · fair‑value band $3.57 – $7.16 · the $12.99 price screens above the $5.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Where Food Comes From, Inc (WFCF) currently trades at $12.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.18, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Where Food Comes From, Inc generated revenue of $25.0M at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.57 (bear case) to $7.16 (bull case); at $12.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -60%, WFCF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.11 $4.38 $6.05 80
Residual Income $1.72 $2.16 $5.36 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.84 $4.28 $6.10 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.15 $4.61 $6.65 38
Owner Earnings $4.20 $6.24 $9.10 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.84 $4.29 $6.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.50 $5.63 $8.25 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.14 $6.93 $10.06 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.88 $4.16 $6.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.31 $4.99 $7.45 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.67 $5.79 $8.72 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.07 $9.07 $12.40 54
Lynch FV $2.34 $3.34 $4.34 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.34 $3.34 $4.34 46
EPV $1.38 $1.48 $1.56 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0900 $0.1600 $0.2000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0900 $0.1500 $0.1700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.80 $6.40 $8.00 63
P/S Multiple $3.89 $5.18 $6.48 58
P/B Multiple $3.89 $5.18 $6.48 55
EV/EBIT $3.57 $4.59 $5.61 53
EV/EBITDA $4.11 $5.31 $6.51 54
EV/Revenue $2.70 $3.63 $4.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9200 $1.24 $1.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.11 $4.38 $6.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.84 $4.28 $6.10 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.72 $2.16 $5.36 76
ROIC Compounder $1.38 $1.48 $1.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.87 $5.53 $7.18 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($5.53) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $25.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net margin 6.4%
Return on equity 17.0%
Free cash flow $1.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 39.3
More key figures
Operating margin 5.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.3100
EPS growth (YoY) +206%
Net cash $1.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Where Food Comes From, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party food verification company in North America.

Full company description

Where Food Comes From, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party food verification company in North America. The company conducts on-site and desk audits to verify claims about livestock, food, other specialty crops, and agricultural and aquaculture products; offers various value-added services, including verification, certification, consulting, and other professional services; and sells hardware and technology solutions. It serves farmers, ranchers, vineyards, wineries, processors, retailers, distributors, trade associations, consumer brands, chefs, and restaurants, as well as beef and pork packers, organic producers and processors, and specialty retail chains. The company was formerly known as Integrated Management Information, Inc. and changed its name to Where Food Comes From, Inc. in December 2012. Where Food Comes From, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is based in Castle Rock, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Where Food Comes From, Inc reported revenue of $24.9M in FY2025 versus $21.9M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5M in FY2025, compounding −15.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$24.9M
Latest YoY
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.4%
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY21 $21.9M
FY22 $24.8M
FY23 $25.1M
FY24 $25.7M
FY25 $24.9M
Net income −15.1%/yr
FY21 $3.0M
FY22 $2.0M
FY23 $2.2M
FY24 $2.1M
FY25 $1.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +20.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.8 pp

of which total revenue +10.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.3 pp

EBIT margin +3.8 pp
Tax rate +1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

WFCF screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Where Food Comes From, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WFCF

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 9 · sector 27
PAST 68 · sector 33
HEALTH 97 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Where Food Comes From, Inc (WFCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.18 versus a price of $12.99, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WFCF?
Our model-based fair value for Where Food Comes From, Inc is $5.18 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.99.
What is the quality score of WFCF?
Where Food Comes From, Inc has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Where Food Comes From, Inc (WFCF)?
Where Food Comes From, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WFCF?
The net profit margin of Where Food Comes From, Inc is about 6.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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